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Champions League
Referee: Espen Eskas
Sp Lisbon
U S S S S
3–1
Full-time
Galatasaray
T U S S S
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Lisbon Galatasaray
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,7
4,2
Scored
2,5
2,7
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,75 xG 1,23
38% Possession 62%
8 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 4
3 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Sp Lisbon Galatasaray
5′
Gonçalo Inácio 1–0
own goal
Sergi Altimira 🟨
22′
2–0 Geny Catamo
27′
Luis Suárez 🟨
43′
Half-time 2–0
52′
🟨 Eren Elmalı
3–0 Luis Suárez
57′
58′
🔁 Rafael Leão
↦ Leroy Sané
4–0 Rodrigo Zalazar
63′
64′
🔁 Deniz Gül
↦ Aleksey Batrakov
Flávio Gonçalves 🔁
↦ Rodrigo Zalazar
66′
Fotis Ioannidis 🔁
↦ Luis Suárez
74′
Silas Andersen 🔁
↦ Issa Doumbia
74′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Sp Lisbon

4-2-3-1
1 Rui Silva G
13 G. Vagiannidis D
72 Eduardo Quaresma D
25 Gonçalo Inácio D
20 M. Araújo D
5 Sergi Altimira M
77 I. Doumbia M
10 Geny Catamo M
17 R. Zalazar M
31 Luis Guilherme M
97 L. Suárez F
Bench (12)
6 Z. Debast
28 J. Derry
50 Rodrigo Dias
4 S. Andersen
73 Eduardo Felicíssimo
22 Iván Fresneda
58 Flávio Gonçalves
7 F. Ioannidis
19 N. Irankunda
30 Kaique
9 Rafael Ferreira Nel
21 Pedro Lima

Coach: Rui Borges

Galatasaray

4-2-3-1
1 U. Çakır G
7 R. Sallai D
6 D. Sánchez D
17 E. Elmalı D
4 I. Jakobs D
34 L. Torreira M
8 Gabriel Sara M
10 L. Sané M
11 Y. Akgün M
53 B. Yılmaz M
83 A. Batrakov F
Bench (10)
42 A. Bardakcı
24 J. Yılmaz
3 E. Bitshiabu
21 D. Gül
20 İ. Gündoğan
27 Rafael Leão
73 Berat Luş
74 Renato Nhaga
18 L. Ugochukwu
70 E. Büyük

Coach: O. Buruk

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,73
U
4,05
B
4,50
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
1,17
U1,5
5,00
O2,5 ✓
1,56
U2,5
2,40
O3,5 ✓
2,36
U3,5
1,61
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
1,53
BLS nei
2,40

Referee

Espen Eskas · 120 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.