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League Cup
Referee: T Reeves
Rotherham
T T U T T
1–4
Full-time
West Brom
U S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rotherham West Brom
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
83%
17%
Average goals
2,7
1,3
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,7
0,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

29% Possession 71%
8 Shots 18
2 Shots on target 10
2 Blocked shots 4
6 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 2
5 Offside 4
9 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Norwich 1 1 0 0 +3 3
2 Wolves 1 1 0 0 +3 3
3 Luton 1 1 0 0 +3 3
4 West Ham 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Blackpool 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Stoke 1 1 0 0 +2 3
7 Bradford 1 1 0 0 +2 3
8 Leyton Orient 1 1 0 0 +2 3
9 Cardiff 1 1 0 0 +1 3
10 Crawley Town 2 1 0 1 +1 3
11 Lincoln 1 1 0 0 +1 3
12 Stevenage 1 1 0 0 +1 3
13 Blackburn 1 1 0 0 +1 3
14 Crewe 1 1 0 0 +1 3
15 Cambridge United 1 1 0 0 +1 3
16 Watford 1 1 0 0 +1 3
17 Leicester 1 1 0 0 +1 3
18 Middlesbrough 1 1 0 0 +1 3
19 Sheffield Weds 1 1 0 0 +1 3
20 Birmingham 1 1 0 0 +1 3
21 Walsall 1 1 0 0 +1 3
22 Peterborough 1 1 0 0 +1 3
23 Fleetwood Town 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 Tranmere 1 0 1 0 +0 1
25 Burnley 1 0 1 0 +0 1
26 Notts County 1 0 1 0 +0 1
27 Barnsley 1 0 1 0 +0 1
28 Wigan 1 0 1 0 +0 1
29 Preston 1 0 1 0 +0 1
30 Huddersfield 1 0 1 0 +0 1
31 QPR 1 0 1 0 +0 1
32 Millwall 1 0 1 0 +0 1
33 Bromley 1 0 1 0 +0 1
34 Reading 1 0 1 0 +0 1
35 Salford City 1 0 1 0 +0 1
36 Shrewsbury 1 0 1 0 +0 1
37 Stockport County 1 0 1 0 +0 1
38 Doncaster 1 0 1 0 +0 1
39 AFC Wimbledon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
40 Newport County 1 0 1 0 +0 1
41 Rochdale 2 0 1 1 -2 1
42 Swindon Town 1 0 0 1 -1 0
43 Derby 1 0 0 1 -1 0
44 Wycombe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
45 Burton Albion 1 0 0 1 -1 0
46 Accrington ST 1 0 0 1 -1 0
47 Barnet 1 0 0 1 -1 0
48 Northampton 1 0 0 1 -1 0
49 Wrexham 1 0 0 1 -1 0
50 Bolton 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 Swansea 1 0 0 1 -1 0
52 Bristol City 1 0 0 1 -1 0
53 Bristol Rovers 1 0 0 1 -1 0
54 Chesterfield 1 0 0 1 -1 0
55 Portsmouth 1 0 0 1 -2 0
56 Grimsby 1 0 0 1 -2 0
57 Oldham 1 0 0 1 -2 0
58 York 1 0 0 1 -2 0
59 Oxford 1 0 0 1 -2 0
60 Milton Keynes Dons 1 0 0 1 -3 0
61 Port Vale 1 0 0 1 -3 0
62 Gillingham 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rotherham West Brom
8′
J. Morgan 0–1
H. Whitwell
24′
H. Whitwell 0–2
Half-time 0–2
46′
🔁 F. Myhre
↦ H. Whitwell
55′
F. Myhre 0–3
B. Cover 🔁
↦ O. Ashley
56′
61′
J. Morgan 0–4
C. Styles
A. Martha 🔁
↦ P. Mullin
62′
65′
🔁 M. Johnston
↦ J. Morgan
73′
🔁 C. Townsend
↦ C. Styles
73′
🔁 J. Molumby
↦ A. Mowatt
73′
🔁 B. Stewart
↦ A. Heggebo
J. Rafferty 🔁
↦ D. Hall
76′
A. Nemane 🔁
↦ J. Buyabu
77′
Brandon Cover 🟨
78′
1–4 F. Tavares
A. Martha
87′
Fábio Tavares 🟨
92′
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Rotherham

4-5-1
1 T. Cann G
12 D. Hall D
16 E. Adegboyega D
14 S. Aljofree D
3 E. Otoo D
7 F. Tavares M
8 K. Spence M
6 O. Ashley M
22 J. Jellis M
24 J. Buyabu M
10 P. Mullin F
Bench (9)
31 B. Childs
23 A. Nemane
11 A. Martha
28 B. Cover
5 K. Ngwenya
2 J. Rafferty
9 T. Bradshaw
17 M. Kaleta
18 L. Agbaire

Coach: Lee Clark

West Brom

1 M. O'Leary G
25 N. Galves D
3 N. Phillips D
6 G. Campbell D
4 C. Styles D
29 H. Whitwell M
17 O. Diakite M
27 A. Mowatt M
21 I. Price M
19 A. Heggebo F
11 J. Morgan F
Bench (9)
13 M. Ingram
10 M. Johnston
28 A. Williams
22 C. Townsend
5 K. Bielik
8 J. Molumby
7 F. Myhre
2 C. Mepham
9 B. Stewart

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

T Reeves · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.