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League Cup
Referee: T Kirk
Fleetwood Town
S T T S T
2–1
Full-time
West Brom
T S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fleetwood Town West Brom
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

25% Possession 75%
5 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Fleetwood Town West Brom
8′
⚽ M. Faal 0–1
D. Cole
1–1 R. Graydon ⚽
D. Mayor
12′
2–1 R. Coughlan ⚽
M. Virtue-Thick
33′
Half-time 2–1
51′
🟨 Gianluca Frabotta
M. Helm 🔁
↦ E. Bonds
57′
61′
🔁 D. Nelson
↦ P. McNair
62′
🔁 C. Deeming
↦ G. Frabotta
C. Johnston 🔁
↦ R. Graydon
66′
T. Lonergan 🔁
↦ R. Coughlan
66′
Danny Mayor 🟨
72′
72′
🔁 E. Sule
↦ L. Dobbin
72′
🔁 R. Cleary
↦ D. Cole
78′
🔁 I. Amihere
↦ H. Whitwell
Ryan Broom 🟨
79′
85′
🟨 Deago Nelson
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Fleetwood Town

3-5-2
13 J. Lynch G
4 B. Sarpong-Wiredu D
18 H. Holgate D
3 Z. Medley D
11 R. Broom M
8 M. Virtue-Thick M
6 E. Bonds M
10 D. Mayor M
44 P. Patterson M
7 R. Graydon F
19 R. Coughlan F
Bench (9)
17 M. Helm
2 C. Johnston
14 T. Lonergan
33 P. Smith
22 C. Dolan
20 M. Odubeko
32 K. Hughes
1 D. Harrington
5 J. Bolton

Coach: C. Adam

West Brom

4-2-3-1
23 J. Wildsmith G
39 R. Hall D
15 C. Taylor D
21 P. McNair D
24 G. Frabotta D
34 H. Whitwell M
17 O. Diakité M
44 D. Cole M
28 F. Heard M
19 L. Dobbin M
32 M. Faal F
Bench (9)
40 D. Nelson
33 C. Deeming
43 E. Sule
29 R. Cleary
35 I. Amihere
36 M. Diomande
41 M. Richards
30 T. Cann
38 K. Mfuamba

Coach: Carlos Corberan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

T Kirk · 43 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.