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Ekstraklasa

Referee: Piotr Lasyk

Nieciecza

T U T U T

2–4

Full-time

Widzew Lodz

T S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nieciecza Widzew Lodz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,5

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,3

3,0

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

2,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 25%

20%

30%

Points per game

0,9

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

40%

50%

Both score Ø 55%

60%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,6

Scored

1,3

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

0,91 xG 1,88

53% Possession 47%

9 Shots 14

4 Shots on target 10

3 Blocked shots 2

6 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 4

0 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 16

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nieciecza 15. · Widzew Lodz 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Gornik Zabrze	10	6	1	3	+7	-0.2	19
2	Cracovia	9	5	3	1	+7	+2.5	18
3	Korona Kielce	10	5	3	2	+7	-2.1	18
4	Wisla Plock	10	5	3	2	+5	+6.3	18
5	Jagiellonia	9	5	3	1	+4	-2.5	18
6	Legia	9	4	3	2	+6	+3.6	15
7	Lech Poznan	9	4	3	2	+1	+6.0	15
8	Zaglebie	9	3	4	2	+7	-1.8	13
9	Pogon Szczecin	11	4	1	6	-4	+6.2	13
10	Radomiak Radom	10	3	3	4	-1	-0.1	12
11	Lechia Gdansk	11	3	3	5	-7	-3.0	12
12	Motor Lublin	9	2	5	2	-3	-1.0	11
13	Rakow	9	3	2	4	-3	-0.3	11
14	Widzew Lodz	10	3	1	6	+0	+2.2	10
15	Nieciecza	10	2	3	5	-4	-0.2	9
16	Arka Gdynia	10	2	3	5	-9	-3.8	9
17	GKS Katowice	10	2	2	6	-10	-6.8	8
18	Piast Gliwice	9	1	4	4	-3	-4.8	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Wisla Plock	6	4	1	1	+5	+5.2	13
2	Korona Kielce	5	4	0	1	+7	+0.0	12
3	Legia	5	3	2	0	+6	+2.3	11
4	Cracovia	5	3	2	0	+4	+2.6	11
5	Radomiak Radom	5	3	1	1	+6	+1.2	10
6	Widzew Lodz	6	3	1	2	+4	+1.1	10
7	Zaglebie	5	2	3	0	+8	+1.2	9
8	Gornik Zabrze	5	3	0	2	+3	+1.4	9
9	Pogon Szczecin	5	3	0	2	+2	+4.5	9
10	Jagiellonia	4	3	0	1	+2	-2.5	9
11	Lechia Gdansk	5	2	2	1	+2	+1.1	8
12	Arka Gdynia	4	2	2	0	+2	-1.8	8
13	Lech Poznan	6	2	2	2	-2	+4.2	8
14	GKS Katowice	5	2	1	2	+0	-3.0	7
15	Motor Lublin	4	1	3	0	+1	+0.9	6
16	Piast Gliwice	4	1	2	1	+1	+0.1	5
17	Rakow	4	0	2	2	-2	-1.1	2
18	Nieciecza	4	0	1	3	-5	+0.3	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Gornik Zabrze	5	3	1	1	+4	-1.7	10
2	Jagiellonia	5	2	3	0	+2	–	9
3	Rakow	5	3	0	2	-1	+0.8	9
4	Nieciecza	6	2	2	2	+1	-0.5	8
5	Cracovia	4	2	1	1	+3	-0.0	7
6	Lech Poznan	3	2	1	0	+3	+1.8	7
7	Korona Kielce	5	1	3	1	+0	-2.2	6
8	Wisla Plock	4	1	2	1	+0	+1.1	5
9	Motor Lublin	5	1	2	2	-4	-1.9	5
10	Legia	4	1	1	2	+0	+1.2	4
11	Zaglebie	4	1	1	2	-1	-3.0	4
12	Pogon Szczecin	6	1	1	4	-6	+1.6	4
13	Lechia Gdansk	6	1	1	4	-9	-4.2	4
14	Piast Gliwice	5	0	2	3	-4	-5.0	2
15	Radomiak Radom	5	0	2	3	-7	-1.3	2
16	GKS Katowice	5	0	1	4	-10	-3.9	1
17	Arka Gdynia	6	0	1	5	-11	-2.0	1
18	Widzew Lodz	4	0	0	4	-4	+1.1	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.