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Conference League
Referee: Gustavo Correia
Shakhtar Donetsk
U U U S S
1–2
Full-time
Legia
U S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Shakhtar Donetsk Legia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
2,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
1,3
0,7
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,3
Scored
2,0
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,49 xG 0,97
70% Possession 30%
11 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 3
2 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 8
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Shakhtar Donetsk Legia
16′
⚽ R. Augustyniak 0–1
Marlon Gomes 🟨
33′
43′
🟨 Mileta Rajović
Half-time 0–1
Newerton 🔁
↦ Eguinaldo
59′
A. Glushchenko 🔁
↦ A. Bondarenko
59′
Lucas Ferreira 🔁
↦ M. Shved
59′
59′
🔁 A. Colak
↦ M. Rajovic
59′
🔁 B. Kapustka
↦ W. Urbanski
1–1 Luca Meirelles ⚽
Y. Konoplya
61′
67′
🔁 P. Stojanovic
↦ E. Krasniqi
Y. Nazaryna 🔁
↦ Marlon Gomes
77′
Yukhym Konoplia 🟨
82′
V. Tobias 🔁
↦ Y. Konoplya
84′
85′
🔁 J. Zewlakow
↦ K. Chodyna
85′
🔁 K. Urbanski
↦ J. Elitim
90′
⚽ R. Augustyniak 1–2
Yehor Nazaryna 🟨
93′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Shakhtar Donetsk

4-1-4-1
23 K. Fesyun G
26 Y. Konoplya D
18 A. Ghram D
22 M. Matviienko D
16 I. Azarovi D
6 Marlon Gomes M
9 M. Shved M
21 A. Bondarenko M
14 Isaque Silva M
7 Eguinaldo M
49 Luca Meirelles F
Bench (12)
31 D. Riznyk
3 D. Arroyo
4 Marlon
5 V. Bondar
11 Newerton
17 V. Tobias
19 Kaua Elias
20 A. Glushchenko
27 O. Ocheretko
29 Y. Nazaryna
37 Lucas Ferreira
74 M. Faryna

Coach: Arda Turan

Legia

4-1-4-1
1 K. Tobiasz G
7 P. Wszolek D
91 K. Piatkowski D
3 S. Kapuadi D
13 A. Reca D
8 R. Augustyniak M
11 K. Chodyna M
53 W. Urbanski M
22 J. Elitim M
77 E. Krasniqi M
29 M. Rajovic F
Bench (12)
27 G. Kobylak
12 R. Pankov
14 A. Colak
19 R. Vinagre
20 J. Zewlakow
21 V. Bichakhchyan
30 P. Stojanovic
44 D. Szymanski
55 A. Jedrzejczyk
67 B. Kapustka
82 K. Urbanski
99 N. Weisshaupt

Coach: Edward Marius Iordănescu

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Gustavo Correia · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
29,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,39 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.