← Match Finder
Ekstraklasa
Referee: Lukasz Kuzma
Motor Lublin
T U U T S
1–1
Full-time
Nieciecza
U S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Motor Lublin Nieciecza
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 6/7 matches
Win Ø 31%
33%
29%
Points per game
1,3
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
33%
43%
Both score Ø 45%
33%
57%
Average goals
2,5
2,9
Scored
1,0
1,4
Conceded
1,5
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

51% Possession 49%
14 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 6
6 Blocked shots 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 4
4 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Motor Lublin 11. · Nieciecza 10.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Wisla Plock 7 5 1 1 +6 +6.2 16
2 Cracovia 7 4 2 1 +4 +2.5 14
3 Korona Kielce 8 4 2 2 +4 -2.1 14
4 Jagiellonia 6 4 1 1 +3 -2.5 13
5 Gornik Zabrze 7 4 0 3 +5 -0.2 12
6 Lech Poznan 6 3 1 2 -1 +6.0 10
7 Pogon Szczecin 8 3 1 4 -3 +2.0 10
8 Zaglebie 7 2 3 2 +3 -1.8 9
9 Radomiak Radom 7 2 2 3 +1 -0.1 8
10 Nieciecza 7 2 2 3 +0 -0.2 8
11 Motor Lublin 6 2 2 2 -3 -1.0 8
12 Arka Gdynia 7 2 2 3 -3 -3.8 8
13 Lechia Gdansk 8 2 2 4 -5 -2.9 8
14 Legia 5 2 1 2 +2 +3.6 7
15 Widzew Lodz 7 2 1 4 +0 +2.2 7
16 GKS Katowice 8 2 1 5 -7 -6.8 7
17 Rakow 5 2 0 3 -3 -0.3 6
18 Piast Gliwice 6 0 4 2 -3 -0.7 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Motor Lublin Nieciecza
1–0 K. Czubak
B. van Hoeven
5′
Half-time 1–0
S. Samper 🔁
↦ J. Labojko
46′
46′
🔁 J. Jimenez
↦ R. Kurzawa
46′
🔁 S. Guerrero
↦ K. Kubica
46′
🔁 R. Boboc
↦ D. Hilbrycht
F. Wojcik 🔁
↦ P. Stolarski
59′
59′
🔁 I. Strzalek
↦ M. Fassbender
M. Ndiaye 🔁
↦ B. van Hoeven
60′
62′
ℹ️ Jesús Jiménez
VAR: Penalty confirmed
64′
J. Jimenez 1–1
Marek Kristián Bartoš 🟨
65′
69′
🟨 Maciej Wolski
M. Scalet 🔁
↦ B. Wolski
74′
Fabio Ronaldo 🔁
↦ M. Krol
74′
Sergi Samper 🟨
81′
81′
🟨 Maciej Ambrosiewicz
85′
🟨 Kamil Zapolnik
85′
🔁 W. Jakubik
↦ M. Wolski
94′
🟨 Wojciech Jakubik
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Motor Lublin

4-3-3
1 I. Brkic G
28 P. Stolarski D
39 M. Bartos D
3 H. Matthys D
24 F. Luberecki D
68 B. Wolski M
21 J. Labojko M
7 I. Rodrigues M
26 M. Krol F
9 K. Czubak F
19 B. van Hoeven F
Bench (10)
2 P. Meyer
6 S. Samper
8 M. Scalet
11 Fabio Ronaldo
16 F. Lewandowski
17 F. Wojcik
23 F. Haxha
30 M. Ndiaye
47 K. Palacz
99 P. Kukulski

Coach: Mateusz Stolarski

Nieciecza

3-4-3
99 M. Mleczko G
29 G. Isik D
2 B. Kopacz D
5 L. Masoero D
21 D. Hilbrycht M
13 K. Kubica M
28 M. Ambrosiewicz M
6 M. Wolski M
8 R. Kurzawa F
25 K. Zapolnik F
7 M. Fassbender F
Bench (10)
1 A. Chovan
3 A. Kasperkiewicz
9 J. Jimenez
23 S. Guerrero
26 W. Jakubik
27 R. Boboc
35 D. Deisadze
53 A. Trubeha
77 A. Putivtsev
86 I. Strzalek

Coach: Marcin Brosz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Lukasz Kuzma · 16 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.