Ekstraklasa
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Motor Lublin
Nieciecza
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Wisla Plock
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +6 | +6.2 | 16 |
| 2 |
Cracovia
|
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +4 | +2.5 | 14 |
| 3 |
Korona Kielce
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | -2.1 | 14 |
| 4 |
Jagiellonia
|
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +3 | -2.5 | 13 |
| 5 |
Gornik Zabrze
|
7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | +5 | -0.2 | 12 |
| 6 |
Lech Poznan
|
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | -1 | +6.0 | 10 |
| 7 |
Pogon Szczecin
|
8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -3 | +2.0 | 10 |
| 8 |
Zaglebie
|
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +3 | -1.8 | 9 |
| 9 |
Radomiak Radom
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +1 | -0.1 | 8 |
| 10 |
Nieciecza
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +0 | -0.2 | 8 |
| 11 |
Motor Lublin
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -3 | -1.0 | 8 |
| 12 |
Arka Gdynia
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | -3.8 | 8 |
| 13 |
Lechia Gdansk
|
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | -2.9 | 8 |
| 14 |
Legia
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +2 | +3.6 | 7 |
| 15 |
Widzew Lodz
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | +0 | +2.2 | 7 |
| 16 |
GKS Katowice
|
8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -7 | -6.8 | 7 |
| 17 |
Rakow
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -3 | -0.3 | 6 |
| 18 |
Piast Gliwice
|
6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -3 | -0.7 | 4 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
I. Brkic
G
M. Bartos
D
H. Matthys
D
F. Luberecki
D
B. Wolski
M
J. Labojko
M
I. Rodrigues
M
K. Czubak
F
Coach: Mateusz Stolarski
M. Fassbender
F
Coach: Marcin Brosz
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Gornik Zabrze
Motor Lublin
Korona Kielce
Motor Lublin
Motor Lublin
Piast Gliwice
Lechia Gdansk
Motor Lublin
Pogon Szczecin
Motor Lublin
Lukasz Kuzma · 16 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.