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Ekstraklasa

Referee: Damian Kos

Radomiak Radom

S U S T T

1–1

Full-time

Nieciecza

S T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Radomiak Radom Nieciecza

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,8

2,8

Scored

2,0

1,5

Conceded

1,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 40%

40%

Points per game

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

80%

40%

Both score Ø 60%

80%

40%

Average goals

3,6

2,8

Scored

2,0

1,6

Conceded

1,6

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

62% Possession 38%

17 Shots 13

4 Shots on target 2

7 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 5

3 Offside 3

12 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Radomiak Radom 6. · Nieciecza 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Wisla Plock	5	4	1	0	+6	+4.8	13
2	Cracovia	5	3	1	1	+3	+2.5	10
3	Gornik Zabrze	5	3	0	2	+3	-0.2	9
4	Jagiellonia	4	3	0	1	+1	-2.5	9
5	Legia	4	2	1	1	+3	+3.6	7
6	Radomiak Radom	5	2	1	2	+2	-0.1	7
7	Nieciecza	5	2	1	2	+2	-0.2	7
8	Widzew Lodz	5	2	1	2	+2	+2.2	7
9	Lech Poznan	4	2	1	1	-1	+3.4	7
10	Rakow	4	2	0	2	-1	-0.3	6
11	Zaglebie	4	1	2	1	+3	+2.2	5
12	Korona Kielce	5	1	2	2	-1	-2.1	5
13	Motor Lublin	4	1	2	1	-2	-1.0	5
14	Arka Gdynia	5	1	2	2	-3	-3.8	5
15	GKS Katowice	5	1	1	3	-3	-5.4	4
16	Pogon Szczecin	5	1	1	3	-5	+2.0	4
17	Lechia Gdansk	5	0	2	3	-6	-4.3	2
18	Piast Gliwice	3	0	1	2	-3	-0.7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Wisla Plock	3	3	0	0	+5	+3.8	9
2	Widzew Lodz	3	2	1	0	+4	+1.1	7
3	Cracovia	3	2	1	0	+3	+2.6	7
4	Radomiak Radom	3	2	0	1	+5	+1.2	6
5	Jagiellonia	3	2	0	1	+0	-2.5	6
6	Zaglebie	2	1	1	0	+4	+1.2	4
7	GKS Katowice	3	1	1	1	+2	-3.0	4
8	Legia	2	1	1	0	+2	+2.3	4
9	Arka Gdynia	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.8	4
10	Motor Lublin	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.9	4
11	Lech Poznan	3	1	1	1	-2	+1.7	4
12	Korona Kielce	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.0	3
13	Pogon Szczecin	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.3	3
14	Gornik Zabrze	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.4	3
15	Lechia Gdansk	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.2	1
16	Nieciecza	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.3	1
17	Rakow	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.1	0
18	Piast Gliwice	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Nieciecza	3	2	0	1	+3	-0.5	6
2	Gornik Zabrze	3	2	0	1	+3	-1.7	6
3	Rakow	3	2	0	1	+0	+0.8	6
4	Wisla Plock	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.0	4
5	Lech Poznan	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.8	3
6	Legia	2	1	0	1	+1	+1.2	3
7	Jagiellonia	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
8	Cracovia	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.0	3
9	Korona Kielce	3	0	2	1	-2	-2.2	2
10	Zaglebie	2	0	1	1	-1	+1.0	1
11	Piast Gliwice	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.8	1
12	Motor Lublin	2	0	1	1	-3	-1.9	1
13	Radomiak Radom	2	0	1	1	-3	-1.3	1
14	Arka Gdynia	3	0	1	2	-4	-2.0	1
15	Lechia Gdansk	3	0	1	2	-5	-4.2	1
16	Pogon Szczecin	3	0	1	2	-5	+1.6	1
17	Widzew Lodz	2	0	0	2	-2	+1.1	0
18	GKS Katowice	2	0	0	2	-5	-2.4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.