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Ekstraklasa

Referee: S Marciniak

Lech Poznan

U T S S S

2–0

Full-time

Jagiellonia

S S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lech Poznan Jagiellonia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

33%

100%

Average goals

2,7

3,8

Scored

2,0

1,8

Conceded

0,7

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 33/33 matches

Win Ø 38%

48%

27%

Points per game

1,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

48%

Both score Ø 59%

45%

73%

Average goals

2,4

2,9

Scored

1,5

Conceded

0,9

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,6

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

65% Possession 35%

18 Shots 7

7 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

14 Corners 5

1 Offside 1

16 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Lech Poznan 3. · Jagiellonia 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	33	23	5	5	+39	74
2	Legia	33	18	9	6	+18	63
3	Lech Poznan	33	16	10	7	+20	58
4	Pogon Szczecin	33	16	9	8	+7	57
5	Piast Gliwice	33	14	8	11	+6	50
6	Gornik Zabrze	33	13	8	12	+2	47
7	Warta Poznan	33	12	9	12	+3	45
8	Radomiak Radom	33	12	8	13	-3	44
9	Zaglebie	33	12	8	13	-9	44
10	Cracovia	33	11	10	12	+3	43
11	Jagiellonia	33	9	14	10	+1	41
12	Widzew Lodz	33	11	8	14	-6	41
13	Stal Mielec	33	10	10	13	-5	40
14	Slask Wroclaw	33	9	11	13	-11	38
15	Korona Kielce	33	10	8	15	-12	38
16	Wisla Plock	33	10	7	16	-6	37
17	Lechia Gdansk	33	8	6	19	-25	30
18	Legnica	33	4	10	19	-22	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	16	14	1	1	+31	43
2	Legia	16	11	5	0	+19	38
3	Pogon Szczecin	16	9	4	3	+6	31
4	Jagiellonia	17	8	4	5	+8	28
5	Wisla Plock	17	8	4	5	+7	28
6	Korona Kielce	17	8	3	6	+0	27
7	Cracovia	16	7	5	4	+10	26
8	Lech Poznan	16	8	2	6	+8	26
9	Slask Wroclaw	17	6	6	5	+0	24
10	Gornik Zabrze	17	6	5	6	+0	23
11	Warta Poznan	17	5	7	5	+3	22
12	Stal Mielec	16	5	7	4	+3	22
13	Piast Gliwice	16	6	4	6	+2	22
14	Radomiak Radom	17	5	4	8	-3	19
15	Lechia Gdansk	17	5	4	8	-7	19
16	Widzew Lodz	16	5	3	8	-3	18
17	Zaglebie	17	4	5	8	-7	17
18	Legnica	16	3	6	7	-7	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	17	8	8	1	+12	32
2	Rakow	17	9	4	4	+8	31
3	Piast Gliwice	17	8	4	5	+4	28
4	Zaglebie	16	8	3	5	-2	27
5	Pogon Szczecin	17	7	5	5	+1	26
6	Radomiak Radom	16	7	4	5	+0	25
7	Legia	17	7	4	6	-1	25
8	Gornik Zabrze	16	7	3	6	+2	24
9	Warta Poznan	16	7	2	7	+0	23
10	Widzew Lodz	17	6	5	6	-3	23
11	Stal Mielec	17	5	3	9	-8	18
12	Cracovia	17	4	5	8	-7	17
13	Slask Wroclaw	16	3	5	8	-11	14
14	Jagiellonia	16	1	10	5	-7	13
15	Korona Kielce	16	2	5	9	-12	11
16	Lechia Gdansk	16	3	2	11	-18	11
17	Wisla Plock	16	2	3	11	-13	9
18	Legnica	17	1	4	12	-15	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.