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Ekstraklasa

Referee: P Gryckiewicz

Jagiellonia

U T U T T

4–1

Full-time

Puszcza

S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Jagiellonia Puszcza

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/3 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 84%

67%

100%

Average goals

3,2

4,0

Scored

1,0

2,0

Conceded

2,2

2,0

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+0,0

This season — Ekstraklasa · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

3,0

5,0

Scored

0,0

2,0

Conceded

3,0

Goal diff per game

-3,0

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,08 xG 0,57

61% Possession 39%

12 Shots 11

6 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 0

5 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 4

1 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 21

3 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Jagiellonia 16. · Puszcza 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rakow	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.0	3
2	Legia	1	1	0	0	+3	–	3
3	Radomiak Radom	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.2	3
4	Ruch Chorzow	2	1	0	1	+1	-0.3	3
5	Widzew Lodz	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.4	3
6	Lech Poznan	1	1	0	0	+1	-3.6	3
7	Zaglebie	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.3	3
8	Warta Poznan	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.8	3
9	Pogon Szczecin	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.1	3
10	Stal Mielec	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
11	Cracovia	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
12	Korona Kielce	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.7	1
13	Slask Wroclaw	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.7	1
14	Puszcza	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.4	0
15	Piast Gliwice	1	0	0	1	-1	+3.6	0
16	Jagiellonia	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.0	0
17	Gornik Zabrze	2	0	0	2	-4	-2.1	0
18	LKS Lodz	2	0	0	2	-5	–	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rakow	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.0	3
2	Legia	1	1	0	0	+3	–	3
3	Ruch Chorzow	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
4	Widzew Lodz	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.4	3
5	Zaglebie	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.3	3
6	Warta Poznan	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.8	3
7	Stal Mielec	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
8	Korona Kielce	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.7	1
9	Piast Gliwice	1	0	0	1	-1	+3.6	0
10	Gornik Zabrze	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Radomiak Radom	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.2	3
2	Lech Poznan	1	1	0	0	+1	-3.6	3
3	Pogon Szczecin	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.1	3
4	Cracovia	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
5	Slask Wroclaw	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.7	1
6	Puszcza	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.4	0
7	Ruch Chorzow	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.3	0
8	Gornik Zabrze	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.9	0
9	Jagiellonia	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.0	0
10	LKS Lodz	2	0	0	2	-5	–	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.