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Ekstraklasa
Referee: P Malec
Legia
T S S U S
3–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Legia Ruch Chorzow
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/4 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
83%
25%
Both score Ø 46%
67%
25%
Average goals
3,8
2,0
Scored
2,7
1,3
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,5
This season — Ekstraklasa · 1/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
3,0
1,5
Conceded
0,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+3,0
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

73% Possession 27%
23 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 1
8 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 4
3 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Lech Poznan 3 2 1 0 +3 -3.1 7
2 Zaglebie 3 2 1 0 +2 +0.3 7
3 Pogon Szczecin 2 2 0 0 +2 +2.5 6
4 Jagiellonia 3 2 0 1 +1 +0.3 6
5 Rakow 2 1 1 0 +3 +2.0 4
6 Warta Poznan 3 1 1 1 +1 +0.8 4
7 Cracovia 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Ruch Chorzow 2 1 0 1 +1 -0.3 3
9 Widzew Lodz 3 1 0 2 -1 -1.8 3
10 Radomiak Radom 3 1 0 2 -1 +0.7 3
11 LKS Lodz 3 1 0 2 -4 3
12 Stal Mielec 2 0 2 0 +0 -0.6 2
13 Piast Gliwice 3 0 2 1 -1 +4.2 2
14 Korona Kielce 2 0 1 1 -1 +0.7 1
15 Slask Wroclaw 2 0 1 1 -1 -0.7 1
16 Gornik Zabrze 3 0 1 2 -4 -2.1 1
17 Puszcza 2 0 0 2 -4 -2.9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Legia Ruch Chorzow
Jurgen Çelhaka 🟨
8′
1–0 Marc Gual
M. Rosołek
19′
Marc Gual ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
20′
23′
🟥 Konrad Kasolik
27′
🟨 Kacper Michalski
29′
🔁 P. Szur
↦ J. Letniowski
2–0 T. Pekhart
43′
Half-time 2–0
Artur Jędrzejczyk 🟨
46′
E. Muçi 🔁
↦ T. Pekhart
46′
59′
🟨 Remigiusz Szywacz
P. Kun 🔁
↦ P. Wszołek
59′
59′
🔁 M. Bartolewski
↦ R. Szywacz
59′
🔁 D. Steczyk
↦ F. Starzyński
B. Slisz 🔁
↦ J. Çelhaka
60′
Josué 🔁
↦ Marc Gual
60′
3–0 Josué
M. Rosołek
68′
B. Kapustka 🔁
↦ J. Elitim
72′
74′
🔁 K. Skwierczyński
↦ T. Wójtowicz
74′
🔁 P. Sikora
↦ S. Szymański
Josué 🟨
77′
92′
🟨 Maciej Sadlok
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Legia

3-4-2-1
1 K. Tobiasz G
12 R. Pankov D
55 A. Jędrzejczyk D
5 Yuri Ribeiro D
13 P. Wszołek M
21 J. Çelhaka M
22 J. Elitim M
32 M. Baku M
39 M. Rosołek F
28 Marc Gual F
7 T. Pekhart F
Bench (9)
20 E. Muçi
33 P. Kun
99 B. Slisz
27 Josué
67 B. Kapustka
8 R. Augustyniak
86 I. Strzałek
30 D. Hładun
18 P. Sokołowski

Coach: K. Runjaić

Ruch Chorzow

3-4-2-1
82 J. Bielecki G
2 K. Kasolik D
21 M. Sadlok D
71 R. Szywacz D
26 K. Michalski M
6 T. Swędrowski M
20 S. Szymański M
5 T. Wójtowicz M
7 J. Letniowski F
22 F. Starzyński F
95 D. Szczepan F
Bench (9)
4 P. Szur
77 M. Bartolewski
18 D. Steczyk
88 K. Skwierczyński
8 P. Sikora
19 M. Feliks
25 P. Baranowski
10 T. Foszmańczyk
1 M. Buchalik

Coach: J. Skrobacz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

P Malec · 48 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.