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Ekstraklasa

Jagiellonia

U U U T T

2–1

Full-time

Zaglebie

S U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Jagiellonia Zaglebie

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

1,8

2,2

Scored

0,7

1,0

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,2

This season — Ekstraklasa · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 29%

27%

31%

Points per game

1,2

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

54%

62%

Both score Ø 54%

62%

46%

Average goals

2,7

2,8

Scored

1,1

1,0

Conceded

1,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Jagiellonia 14. · Zaglebie 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pogon Szczecin	27	16	8	3	+31	56
2	Lech Poznan	27	16	7	4	+34	55
3	Rakow	27	16	7	4	+23	55
4	Lechia Gdansk	27	12	7	8	+9	43
5	Radomiak Radom	27	10	12	5	+7	42
6	Piast Gliwice	26	10	7	9	+4	37
7	Gornik Zabrze	26	10	7	9	+3	37
8	Wisla Plock	26	11	3	12	-1	36
9	Cracovia	27	9	8	10	-3	35
10	Legia	27	11	2	14	-3	35
11	Stal Mielec	27	8	9	10	-5	33
12	Slask Wroclaw	27	7	9	11	-5	30
13	Warta Poznan	27	7	9	11	-5	30
14	Jagiellonia	26	7	9	10	-11	30
15	Zaglebie	26	8	4	14	-19	28
16	Wisla	26	6	6	14	-16	24
17	Nieciecza	27	5	9	13	-19	24
18	Leczna	27	5	9	13	-24	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	13	10	2	1	+27	32
2	Pogon Szczecin	13	10	2	1	+22	32
3	Lechia Gdansk	13	9	3	1	+14	30
4	Wisla Plock	13	9	2	2	+13	29
5	Rakow	13	8	4	1	+18	28
6	Radomiak Radom	13	6	6	1	+8	24
7	Legia	14	8	0	6	+4	24
8	Gornik Zabrze	14	6	4	4	+5	22
9	Stal Mielec	14	6	3	5	+0	21
10	Cracovia	14	5	4	5	+1	19
11	Jagiellonia	13	4	6	3	+3	18
12	Piast Gliwice	13	5	3	5	+0	18
13	Nieciecza	14	4	5	5	-4	17
14	Zaglebie	13	5	2	6	-4	17
15	Wisla	12	4	3	5	-1	15
16	Slask Wroclaw	13	3	6	4	-2	15
17	Warta Poznan	14	3	6	5	-5	15
18	Leczna	14	3	5	6	-12	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	14	8	3	3	+5	27
2	Pogon Szczecin	14	6	6	2	+9	24
3	Lech Poznan	14	6	5	3	+7	23
4	Piast Gliwice	13	5	4	4	+4	19
5	Radomiak Radom	14	4	6	4	-1	18
6	Cracovia	13	4	4	5	-4	16
7	Warta Poznan	13	4	3	6	+0	15
8	Gornik Zabrze	12	4	3	5	-2	15
9	Slask Wroclaw	14	4	3	7	-3	15
10	Lechia Gdansk	14	3	4	7	-5	13
11	Stal Mielec	13	2	6	5	-5	12
12	Jagiellonia	13	3	3	7	-14	12
13	Legia	13	3	2	8	-7	11
14	Zaglebie	13	3	2	8	-15	11
15	Leczna	13	2	4	7	-12	10
16	Wisla	14	2	3	9	-15	9
17	Wisla Plock	13	2	1	10	-14	7
18	Nieciecza	13	1	4	8	-15	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.