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Ekstraklasa
Referee: D Stefanski
Gornik Zabrze
T S S T U
1–1
Full-time
Jagiellonia
T T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gornik Zabrze Jagiellonia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,5
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,2
This season — Ekstraklasa · 5/6 matches
Win Ø 37%
40%
33%
Points per game
1,4
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
60%
50%
Both score Ø 45%
40%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
1,4
1,2
Conceded
1,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

63% Possession 37%
19 Shots 21
4 Shots on target 7
6 Blocked shots 7
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 1
3 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 13
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Gornik Zabrze 11. · Jagiellonia 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Wisla Plock 6 5 1 0 +13 16
2 Radomiak Radom 6 3 2 1 +2 11
3 Legia 6 3 2 1 +2 11
4 Cracovia 6 3 1 2 +4 10
5 Pogon Szczecin 5 3 1 1 +2 10
6 Stal Mielec 6 3 1 2 +1 10
7 Slask Wroclaw 6 2 3 1 +0 9
8 Zaglebie 6 2 2 2 -1 8
9 Rakow 4 2 1 1 +1 7
10 Widzew Lodz 6 2 1 3 +0 7
11 Gornik Zabrze 5 2 1 2 +0 7
12 Jagiellonia 6 2 1 3 -1 7
13 Korona Kielce 6 2 1 3 -1 7
14 Piast Gliwice 5 2 0 3 +0 6
15 Warta Poznan 6 2 0 4 -5 6
16 Lechia Gdansk 4 1 0 3 -6 3
17 Lech Poznan 4 0 1 3 -5 1
18 Legnica 5 0 1 4 -6 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gornik Zabrze Jagiellonia
Rafał Janicki 🟨
4′
Half-time 0–1
48′
Jesús Imaz 0–1
B. Bida
Aleksander Paluszek 🟨
50′
54′
🟨 Jesús Imaz
Dani Pacheco 🔁
↦ S. Włodarczyk
59′
59′
🔁 F. Černych
↦ B. Bida
62′
🟨 Bojan Nastić
62′
🔁 Israel Puerto
↦ M. Skrzypczak
Mateusz Cholewiak 🟨
65′
65′
🟨 Bogdan Țîru
72′
🔁 W. Łaski
↦ M. Pazdan
K. Kubica 🔁
↦ R. Dadok
75′
N. Wojtuszek 🔁
↦ P. Krawczyk
75′
K. Kolanko 🔁
↦ M. Cholewiak
84′
R. Kamber 🔁
↦ J. Jules
84′
1–1 E. Janža
A. Paluszek
90′
Dani Pacheco 🟨
92′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Gornik Zabrze

3-5-2
32 K. Broll G
4 A. Paluszek D
26 R. Janicki D
3 R. Jensen D
16 P. Olkowski M
96 R. Dadok M
23 J. Jules M
11 M. Cholewiak M
64 E. Janža M
20 S. Włodarczyk F
21 P. Krawczyk F
Bench (9)
7 Dani Pacheco
6 K. Kubica
15 N. Wojtuszek
24 K. Kolanko
17 R. Kamber
1 D. Bielica
42 B. Eizenchart
77 J. Szymański
22 D. Stalmach

Coach: B. Gaul

Jagiellonia

3-4-2-1
1 Z. Alomerović G
25 B. Țîru D
72 M. Skrzypczak D
2 M. Pazdan D
5 B. Nastić M
6 T. Romanczuk M
8 Nené M
14 T. Přikryl M
28 Marc Gual F
9 B. Bida F
11 Jesús Imaz F
Bench (9)
10 F. Černych
4 Israel Puerto
77 W. Łaski
19 P. Olszewski
30 M. Twarowski
50 S. Abramowicz
36 J. Lewicki
22 O. Wojciechowski
26 M. Pospíšil

Coach: M. Stolarczyk

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Stefanski · 84 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.