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Ekstraklasa

Referee: D Sylwestrzak

Rakow

S S S T S

2–2

Full-time

Jagiellonia

S S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rakow Jagiellonia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

2,5

2,2

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

0,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-0,2

This season — Ekstraklasa · 3/4 matches

Win Ø 46%

67%

25%

Points per game

2,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 29%

33%

25%

Both score Ø 29%

33%

25%

Average goals

2,3

2,0

Scored

1,3

0,8

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

47% Possession 53%

15 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 2

6 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 8

2 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Rakow 9. · Jagiellonia 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Wisla Plock	5	4	1	0	+12	13
2	Stal Mielec	5	3	1	1	+5	10
3	Pogon Szczecin	5	3	1	1	+2	10
4	Legia	5	3	1	1	+2	10
5	Cracovia	5	3	0	2	+4	9
6	Radomiak Radom	5	2	2	1	+1	8
7	Zaglebie	5	2	2	1	+0	8
8	Korona Kielce	4	2	1	1	+1	7
9	Rakow	3	2	0	1	+1	6
10	Gornik Zabrze	4	2	0	2	+0	6
11	Slask Wroclaw	4	1	2	1	-1	5
12	Widzew Lodz	5	1	1	3	-1	4
13	Jagiellonia	4	1	0	3	-2	3
14	Piast Gliwice	4	1	0	3	-4	3
15	Warta Poznan	4	1	0	3	-5	3
16	Lechia Gdansk	4	1	0	3	-6	3
17	Lech Poznan	3	0	1	2	-4	1
18	Legnica	4	0	1	3	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pogon Szczecin	3	2	1	0	+2	7
2	Wisla Plock	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Cracovia	3	2	0	1	+4	6
4	Legia	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Rakow	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Korona Kielce	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Stal Mielec	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Slask Wroclaw	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Radomiak Radom	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Jagiellonia	3	1	0	2	-1	3
11	Gornik Zabrze	3	1	0	2	-3	3
12	Zaglebie	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Lechia Gdansk	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Piast Gliwice	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Widzew Lodz	2	0	0	2	-2	0
16	Legnica	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Lech Poznan	2	0	0	2	-4	0
18	Warta Poznan	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Wisla Plock	3	2	1	0	+6	7
2	Stal Mielec	3	2	0	1	+3	6
3	Zaglebie	3	2	0	1	+0	6
4	Radomiak Radom	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Widzew Lodz	3	1	1	1	+1	4
6	Legia	3	1	1	1	-2	4
7	Gornik Zabrze	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Pogon Szczecin	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Warta Poznan	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Cracovia	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Korona Kielce	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Piast Gliwice	3	1	0	2	-3	3
13	Lechia Gdansk	3	1	0	2	-5	3
14	Lech Poznan	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Slask Wroclaw	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Legnica	2	0	1	1	-3	1
17	Jagiellonia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Rakow	1	0	0	1	-1	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.