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Ekstraklasa

Referee: T Wajda

Jagiellonia

S T T T U

2–1

Full-time

Legnica

U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Jagiellonia Legnica

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/4 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,2

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 54%

33%

75%

Average goals

2,2

2,8

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

1,2

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-1,3

This season — Ekstraklasa · 5/4 matches

Win Ø 10%

20%

Points per game

0,8

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

40%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

40%

75%

Average goals

2,4

2,8

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

1,4

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

65% Possession 35%

22 Shots 12

8 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

5 Corners 1

1 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 21

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Jagiellonia 14. · Legnica 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Wisla Plock	5	4	1	0	+12	13
2	Stal Mielec	5	3	1	1	+5	10
3	Pogon Szczecin	5	3	1	1	+2	10
4	Legia	5	3	1	1	+2	10
5	Cracovia	5	3	0	2	+4	9
6	Radomiak Radom	5	2	2	1	+1	8
7	Slask Wroclaw	5	2	2	1	+0	8
8	Zaglebie	5	2	2	1	+0	8
9	Rakow	4	2	1	1	+1	7
10	Korona Kielce	5	2	1	2	+0	7
11	Gornik Zabrze	4	2	0	2	+0	6
12	Warta Poznan	5	2	0	3	-4	6
13	Widzew Lodz	5	1	1	3	-1	4
14	Jagiellonia	5	1	1	3	-2	4
15	Piast Gliwice	4	1	0	3	-4	3
16	Lechia Gdansk	4	1	0	3	-6	3
17	Legnica	4	0	1	3	-5	1
18	Lech Poznan	4	0	1	3	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	3	2	1	0	+2	7
2	Pogon Szczecin	3	2	1	0	+2	7
3	Wisla Plock	2	2	0	0	+6	6
4	Cracovia	3	2	0	1	+4	6
5	Legia	2	2	0	0	+4	6
6	Stal Mielec	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Korona Kielce	3	1	1	1	+1	4
8	Slask Wroclaw	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Radomiak Radom	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Jagiellonia	3	1	0	2	-1	3
11	Gornik Zabrze	3	1	0	2	-3	3
12	Zaglebie	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Lechia Gdansk	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Piast Gliwice	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Widzew Lodz	2	0	0	2	-2	0
16	Legnica	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Lech Poznan	3	0	0	3	-5	0
18	Warta Poznan	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Wisla Plock	3	2	1	0	+6	7
2	Stal Mielec	3	2	0	1	+3	6
3	Warta Poznan	3	2	0	1	+1	6
4	Zaglebie	3	2	0	1	+0	6
5	Radomiak Radom	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Widzew Lodz	3	1	1	1	+1	4
7	Slask Wroclaw	3	1	1	1	-1	4
8	Legia	3	1	1	1	-2	4
9	Gornik Zabrze	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Pogon Szczecin	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Cracovia	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Korona Kielce	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Piast Gliwice	3	1	0	2	-3	3
14	Lechia Gdansk	3	1	0	2	-5	3
15	Lech Poznan	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Jagiellonia	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Legnica	2	0	1	1	-3	1
18	Rakow	1	0	0	1	-1	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.