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Allsvenskan

Referee: G Maqedonci

Varnamo

S S S S U

1–3

Full-time

Kalmar

S U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Varnamo Kalmar

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,2

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,0

2,2

Scored

1,7

Conceded

1,3

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,2

This season — Allsvenskan · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 42%

32%

52%

Points per game

1,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

52%

28%

Both score Ø 48%

56%

40%

Average goals

2,7

2,0

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

38% Possession 62%

8 Shots 12

2 Shots on target 7

1 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 1

2 Offside 3

11 Free kicks against 8

3 Yellow cards 0

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Varnamo 10. · Kalmar 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hacken	26	15	9	2	+26	54
2	Djurgarden	25	14	6	5	+26	48
3	Hammarby	25	13	7	5	+27	46
4	Kalmar	25	13	5	7	+11	44
5	AIK	25	12	8	5	+10	44
6	Malmo FF	25	12	6	7	+10	42
7	Elfsborg	26	9	10	7	+12	37
8	Goteborg	25	11	3	11	+4	36
9	Mjallby	25	8	10	7	-1	34
10	Varnamo	25	8	8	9	-9	32
11	Norrkoping	25	7	8	10	-1	29
12	Varberg	26	7	7	12	-18	28
13	Sirius	25	7	6	12	-13	27
14	Degerfors	26	5	8	13	-20	23
15	Helsingborg	26	4	5	17	-22	17
16	Sundsvall	26	4	2	20	-42	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Djurgarden	12	10	1	1	+25	31
2	Kalmar	13	9	2	2	+10	29
3	Hammarby	13	8	4	1	+22	28
4	AIK	13	8	4	1	+12	28
5	Hacken	13	8	3	2	+16	27
6	Malmo FF	13	8	3	2	+13	27
7	Elfsborg	13	6	5	2	+10	23
8	Varnamo	12	5	5	2	+4	20
9	Goteborg	12	5	3	4	+3	18
10	Mjallby	12	4	6	2	+2	18
11	Degerfors	13	4	5	4	-3	17
12	Varberg	13	4	5	4	-4	17
13	Norrkoping	13	4	4	5	+3	16
14	Sirius	12	5	1	6	-1	16
15	Sundsvall	13	4	0	9	-16	12
16	Helsingborg	13	2	3	8	-10	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hacken	13	7	6	0	+10	27
2	Hammarby	12	5	3	4	+5	18
3	Goteborg	13	6	0	7	+1	18
4	Djurgarden	13	4	5	4	+1	17
5	AIK	12	4	4	4	-2	16
6	Mjallby	13	4	4	5	-3	16
7	Kalmar	12	4	3	5	+1	15
8	Malmo FF	12	4	3	5	-3	15
9	Elfsborg	13	3	5	5	+2	14
10	Norrkoping	12	3	4	5	-4	13
11	Varnamo	13	3	3	7	-13	12
12	Sirius	13	2	5	6	-12	11
13	Varberg	13	3	2	8	-14	11
14	Helsingborg	13	2	2	9	-12	8
15	Degerfors	13	1	3	9	-17	6
16	Sundsvall	13	0	2	11	-26	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.