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Allsvenskan
Referee: A Ladebäck
Varnamo
U U U T T
3–2
Full-time
Helsingborg
T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Varnamo Helsingborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
83%
17%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,3
This season — Allsvenskan · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 18%
20%
15%
Points per game
1,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
50%
45%
Both score Ø 53%
55%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

51% Possession 49%
16 Shots 22
6 Shots on target 6
5 Blocked shots 8
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
10 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Varnamo 13. · Helsingborg 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hacken 21 13 6 2 +22 45
2 Djurgarden 21 13 5 3 +27 44
3 Hammarby 20 12 4 4 +26 40
4 AIK 21 11 6 4 +10 39
5 Malmo FF 21 10 4 7 +8 34
6 Goteborg 20 10 3 7 +9 33
7 Kalmar 20 10 3 7 +6 33
8 Mjallby 20 8 7 5 +3 31
9 Elfsborg 21 6 9 6 +7 27
10 Sirius 21 7 4 10 -9 25
11 Norrkoping 20 5 6 9 -5 21
12 Varberg 20 5 6 9 -16 21
13 Varnamo 20 4 7 9 -13 19
14 Degerfors 21 4 4 13 -23 16
15 Helsingborg 20 3 5 12 -16 14
16 Sundsvall 21 3 1 17 -36 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

21. May -22 Helsingborg – Varnamo 1–4

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.