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Allsvenskan
Referee: V Wolf
Kalmar
S S T S U
1–0
Full-time
Varnamo
T T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kalmar Varnamo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,5
This season — Allsvenskan · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 40%
50%
30%
Points per game
1,6
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
40%
40%
Both score Ø 45%
40%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,1
Conceded
0,9
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

51% Possession 49%
18 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 2
7 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 4
0 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kalmar 6. · Varnamo 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hacken 11 7 3 1 +8 24
2 AIK 12 7 3 2 +4 24
3 Djurgarden 12 6 3 3 +15 21
4 Hammarby 11 6 3 2 +11 21
5 Malmo FF 11 5 3 3 +2 18
6 Kalmar 10 5 1 4 +4 16
7 Mjallby 11 4 4 3 +1 16
8 Elfsborg 10 4 3 3 +8 15
9 Norrkoping 11 4 3 4 +2 15
10 Goteborg 10 4 2 4 +1 14
11 Sirius 10 4 2 4 -5 14
12 Varnamo 10 3 3 4 -1 12
13 Varberg 10 3 2 5 -8 11
14 Degerfors 11 2 1 8 -15 7
15 Sundsvall 11 2 0 9 -18 6
16 Helsingborg 11 1 2 8 -9 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kalmar Varnamo
1–0 L. Sætra
S. Skrabb
5′
34′
🟨 Abdussalam Magashy
Half-time 1–0
Lars Saetra 🟨
48′
49′
🟨 Wenderson
Carl Gustafsson 🟨
56′
65′
🔁 C. Vindehall
↦ F. Winsth
65′
🔁 E. Bećirović
↦ Wenderson
K. Jensen 🔁
↦ N. Shamoun
68′
I. Jansson 🔁
↦ S. Skrabb
68′
78′
🔁 Erick Brendon
↦ W. Kenndal
87′
🟨 Edvin Becirovic
V. Backman 🔁
↦ N. Girmai
88′
J. Stenmark 🔁
↦ A. Lindahl
88′
89′
🔁 M. Simba
↦ V. Eriksson
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Kalmar

4-2-3-1
1 Ricardo Friedrich G
39 L. Sætra D
6 R. Sjöstedt D
3 D. Ólafsson D
2 A. Lindahl D
29 Romário M
11 S. Skrabb F
20 O. Berg M
22 N. Girmai M
17 C. Gustafsson M
14 N. Shamoun M
Bench (7)
7 K. Jensen
9 I. Jansson
26 V. Backman
23 J. Stenmark
32 C. Andersson
28 E. Olsson
13 L. Isa

Coach: H. Rydström

Varnamo

4-2-3-1
30 P. Vaitsiakhovich G
20 F. Winsth M
2 F. de Vries D
25 V. Eriksson D
5 V. Larsson D
3 R. Tihi D
8 W. Kenndal M
9 O. Johansson M
21 A. Magashy M
18 Wenderson M
14 M. Antonsson F
Bench (7)
7 C. Vindehall
11 E. Bećirović
10 Erick Brendon
24 M. Simba
6 H. Näsström
19 H. Avdiu
31 H. Gustafsson

Coach: K. Hellberg

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

V Wolf · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.