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Superligaen
Referee: Mikkel Redder
Aarhus
S S U S T
0–0
Full-time
FC Copenhagen
S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aarhus FC Copenhagen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,7
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
0,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,8
This season — Superligaen · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 52%
44%
60%
Points per game
1,6
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
28%
60%
Both score Ø 50%
44%
56%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
1,1
2,0
Conceded
0,9
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

42% Possession 58%
9 Shots 6
2 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
9 Corners 3
3 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 6
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aarhus 5. · FC Copenhagen 1. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 FC Copenhagen 25 15 3 7 +24 48
2 Nordsjaelland 26 13 8 5 +17 47
3 Viborg 26 12 7 7 +9 43
4 Randers FC 26 10 10 6 +3 40
5 Aarhus 25 11 6 8 +6 39
6 Midtjylland 26 9 11 6 +8 38
7 Odense 25 9 7 9 -10 34
8 Brondby 26 9 6 11 -9 33
9 Silkeborg 26 8 7 11 -4 31
10 Horsens 26 7 5 14 -17 26
11 Aalborg 26 4 8 14 -12 20
12 Lyngby 25 4 8 13 -15 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

13. Nov -22 Aarhus – FC Copenhagen 0–2 2. Oct -22 FC Copenhagen – Aarhus 1–0 21. Nov -21 FC Copenhagen – Aarhus 1–1 15. Aug -21 Aarhus – FC Copenhagen 1–3 3. May -21 FC Copenhagen – Aarhus 3–2

Match report

Aarhus FC Copenhagen
Mads Emil Madsen ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
3′
39′
🟨 Diogo Gonçalves
Felix Beijmo 🟨
43′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 J. Larsson
↦ Diogo Gonçalves
46′
🔁 A. Cornelius
↦ H. Haraldsson
53′
🔁 Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson
↦ A. Cornelius
70′
🔁 C. Sørensen
↦ P. Ankersen
M. Duelund 🔁
↦ N. Poulsen
74′
E. Kahl 🔁
↦ G. Links
82′
S. Haugen 🔁
↦ P. Mortensen
90′
P. Bjur 🔁
↦ M. Anderson
90′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Aarhus

3-4-2-1
1 J. Hansen G
14 T. Mølgaard D
5 F. Tingager D
4 Y. Aurel Bisseck D
2 F. Beijmo M
6 N. Poulsen M
7 M. Emil Madsen M
11 G. Links M
17 Kevin Yakob F
8 M. Anderson F
9 P. Mortensen F
Bench (9)
20 M. Duelund
19 E. Kahl
10 S. Haugen
21 P. Bjur
42 J. Andersen
16 P. Kristian Bråtveit
28 A. Daghim
43 D. Herrington
29 F. Brandhof

Coach: U. Rösler

FC Copenhagen

4-3-3
1 K. Grabara G
22 P. Ankersen D
3 D. Vavro D
27 V. Lund Jensen D
19 E. Jelert
12 L. Lerager M
33 R. Falk M
7 V. Claesson M
9 Diogo Gonçalves F
30 H. Haraldsson F
15 M. Daramy F
Bench (9)
25 J. Larsson
14 A. Cornelius
8 Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson
6 C. Sørensen
35 M. Stamenić
21 K. Johnsson
36 W. Clem
2 K. Diks
40 R. Bardghji

Coach: J. Neestrup

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
🔒
U ✓
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Mikkel Redder · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.