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Champions League
Referee: D Rumšas
FC Copenhagen
S T S S S
4–3
Full-time
Man United
S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Copenhagen Man United
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 9/3 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,4
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
44%
67%
Both score Ø 62%
56%
67%
Average goals
3,1
4,3
Scored
1,8
2,0
Conceded
1,3
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

2,25 xG 3,02
52% Possession 48%
16 Shots 9
8 Shots on target 8
2 Blocked shots 0
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 3
2 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1

Recent head-to-head meetings

24. Oct -23 Man United – FC Copenhagen 1–0

Match report

FC Copenhagen Man United
3′
⚽ R. Højlund 0–1
S. McTominay
15′
🔁 R. Varane
↦ J. Evans
28′
⚽ R. Højlund 0–2
42′
🟥 Marcus Rashford
42′
ℹ️ Marcus Rashford
VAR: Card upgrade
1–2 M. Elyounoussi ⚽
Diogo Gonçalves
45′
Half-time 1–2
46′
🔁 S. Amrabat
↦ C. Eriksen
2–2 Diogo Gonçalves ⚽
54′
Denis Vavro 🟨
56′
R. Bardghji 🔁
↦ M. Elyounoussi
63′
67′
ℹ️ Harry Maguire
VAR: Penalty confirmed
69′
⚽ Bruno Fernandes 2–3
C. Sørensen 🔁
↦ P. Ankersen
70′
O. Óskarsson 🔁
↦ Diogo Gonçalves
70′
J. Larsson 🔁
↦ E. Achouri
78′
N. Boilesen 🔁
↦ D. Vavro
78′
3–3 L. Lerager ⚽
R. Falk
83′
84′
🔁 M. Mount
↦ R. Højlund
4–3 R. Bardghji ⚽
87′
93′
🟨 Harry Maguire
Full-time 4–3

Line-ups

FC Copenhagen

4-3-3
1 K. Grabara G
22 P. Ankersen D
3 D. Vavro D
2 K. Diks D
19 E. Jelert D
12 L. Lerager M
33 R. Falk M
9 Diogo Gonçalves M
10 M. Elyounoussi F
7 V. Claesson F
30 E. Achouri F
Bench (12)
40 R. Bardghji
6 C. Sørensen
18 O. Óskarsson
11 J. Larsson
20 N. Boilesen
41 A. Dithmer
21 T. Sander
15 K. Babacar
8 M. Tanlongo
39 O. Højlund
27 V. Lund
47 V. Froholdt

Coach: J. Neestrup

Man United

4-2-3-1
24 A. Onana G
29 A. Wan-Bissaka D
5 H. Maguire D
35 J. Evans D
20 Diogo Dalot D
39 S. McTominay M
14 C. Eriksen M
10 M. Rashford M
8 Bruno Fernandes M
17 A. Garnacho M
11 R. Højlund F
Bench (12)
19 R. Varane
4 S. Amrabat
7 M. Mount
28 F. Pellistri
2 V. Lindelöf
62 O. Forson
22 T. Heaton
46 H. Mejbri
1 A. Bayındır
9 A. Martial
21 Antony
15 Sergio Reguilón

Coach: E. ten Hag

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Rumšas · 26 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,38 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.