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Superligaen

Referee: Mads Kristoffer Kristoffersen

FC Copenhagen

T S T S S

4–3

Full-time

Aarhus

T U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Copenhagen Aarhus

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

4,0

1,3

Scored

2,2

1,0

Conceded

1,8

0,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,7

This season — Superligaen · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 50%

55%

45%

Points per game

1,8

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

59%

28%

Both score Ø 48%

55%

41%

Average goals

2,9

1,9

Scored

1,9

1,1

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

46% Possession 54%

13 Shots 18

7 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 2

2 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 8

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match FC Copenhagen 1. · Aarhus 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	29	16	4	9	+24	52
2	Nordsjaelland	29	14	9	6	+17	51
3	Viborg	30	14	8	8	+10	50
4	Midtjylland	30	12	11	7	+14	47
5	Aarhus	29	13	8	8	+10	47
6	Odense	30	11	10	9	-5	43
7	Randers FC	29	10	10	9	-3	40
8	Brondby	30	11	7	12	-8	40
9	Silkeborg	30	10	7	13	-6	37
10	Aalborg	30	6	9	15	-9	27
11	Horsens	30	7	6	17	-24	27
12	Lyngby	30	5	9	16	-20	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Nordsjaelland	14	10	2	2	+14	32
2	FC Copenhagen	14	9	2	3	+15	29
3	Viborg	15	7	6	2	+5	27
4	Aarhus	15	6	6	3	+7	24
5	Silkeborg	15	6	3	6	-1	21
6	Randers FC	15	6	3	6	-4	21
7	Brondby	15	6	3	6	-6	21
8	Odense	15	5	5	5	-3	20
9	Midtjylland	15	5	4	6	-2	19
10	Horsens	15	5	4	6	-7	19
11	Lyngby	15	3	6	6	-11	15
12	Aalborg	15	3	5	7	-4	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Midtjylland	15	7	7	1	+16	28
2	FC Copenhagen	15	7	2	6	+9	23
3	Viborg	15	7	2	6	+5	23
4	Aarhus	14	7	2	5	+3	23
5	Odense	15	6	5	4	-2	23
6	Nordsjaelland	15	4	7	4	+3	19
7	Randers FC	14	4	7	3	+1	19
8	Brondby	15	5	4	6	-2	19
9	Silkeborg	15	4	4	7	-5	16
10	Aalborg	15	3	4	8	-5	13
11	Lyngby	15	2	3	10	-9	9
12	Horsens	15	2	2	11	-17	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.