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LaLiga2

Referee: Miguel Sesma

Elche

S T U S U

1–0

Full-time

Burgos

U T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elche Burgos

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

1,3

2,2

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

0,3

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,5

This season — LaLiga2 · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 36%

36%

Points per game

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 36%

45%

27%

Both score Ø 32%

27%

36%

Average goals

1,9

2,3

Scored

1,0

1,1

Conceded

0,9

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

63% Possession 37%

21 Shots 6

9 Shots on target 3

8 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 7

12 Corners 3

3 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Elche 12. · Burgos 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Santander	11	8	2	1	+9	26
2	Mirandes	12	6	3	3	+3	21
3	Zaragoza	12	6	1	5	+6	19
4	Granada	11	5	4	2	+5	19
5	Castellon	12	6	1	5	+4	19
6	Oviedo	12	5	4	3	+1	19
7	Sp Gijon	11	5	3	3	+4	18
8	Levante	11	5	3	3	+3	18
9	Eibar	12	5	3	4	+0	18
10	Huesca	11	5	2	4	+5	17
11	Malaga	12	3	8	1	+0	17
12	Elche	11	4	3	4	+1	15
13	Almeria	11	4	3	4	-1	15
14	Burgos	11	4	3	4	-1	15
15	Cordoba	12	4	3	5	-2	15
16	Albacete	11	4	2	5	-2	14
17	Cadiz	12	3	4	5	-4	13
18	Eldense	12	3	3	6	-5	12
19	Ferrol	11	2	5	4	-5	11
20	La Coruna	11	2	4	5	-3	10
21	Cartagena	12	2	1	9	-10	7
22	Tenerife	11	1	3	7	-8	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Mirandes	7	5	1	1	+6	16
2	Cordoba	6	4	2	0	+7	14
3	Sp Gijon	6	4	1	1	+4	13
4	Eibar	6	4	1	1	+2	13
5	Oviedo	5	4	0	1	+4	12
6	Levante	5	3	2	0	+5	11
7	Santander	6	3	2	1	+3	11
8	Elche	6	3	2	1	+3	11
9	Malaga	6	3	2	1	+0	11
10	Huesca	5	3	1	1	+5	10
11	Granada	6	2	2	2	+2	8
12	Almeria	5	2	2	1	+1	8
13	Burgos	6	2	2	2	+0	8
14	Eldense	6	2	1	3	-1	7
15	Castellon	6	2	1	3	-1	7
16	Albacete	5	2	1	2	-1	7
17	Zaragoza	5	2	0	3	+1	6
18	Ferrol	6	1	3	2	-3	6
19	Cadiz	7	1	3	3	-4	6
20	Tenerife	6	1	2	3	-1	5
21	La Coruna	5	1	2	2	-2	5
22	Cartagena	5	0	1	4	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Santander	5	5	0	0	+6	15
2	Zaragoza	7	4	1	2	+5	13
3	Castellon	6	4	0	2	+5	12
4	Granada	5	3	2	0	+3	11
5	Cadiz	5	2	1	2	+0	7
6	Huesca	6	2	1	3	+0	7
7	Albacete	6	2	1	3	-1	7
8	Burgos	5	2	1	2	-1	7
9	Almeria	6	2	1	3	-2	7
10	Levante	6	2	1	3	-2	7
11	Oviedo	7	1	4	2	-3	7
12	Malaga	6	0	6	0	+0	6
13	Cartagena	7	2	0	5	-6	6
14	Sp Gijon	5	1	2	2	+0	5
15	La Coruna	6	1	2	3	-1	5
16	Eibar	6	1	2	3	-2	5
17	Ferrol	5	1	2	2	-2	5
18	Mirandes	5	1	2	2	-3	5
19	Eldense	6	1	2	3	-4	5
20	Elche	5	1	1	3	-2	4
21	Tenerife	5	0	1	4	-7	1
22	Cordoba	6	0	1	5	-9	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.