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La Liga

Referee: Santiago Jaime

Eibar

S T U T T

0–1

Full-time

Elche

T S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eibar Elche

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,7

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

This season — La Liga · 3/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,3

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

67%

100%

Both score Ø 34%

67%

Average goals

2,0

3,0

Scored

0,7

0,0

Conceded

1,3

3,0

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-3,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

61% Possession 39%

12 Shots 5

4 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 2

0 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Getafe	3	2	1	0	+4	7
2	Valencia	4	2	1	1	+2	7
3	Villarreal	4	2	1	1	-1	7
4	Betis	4	2	0	2	-1	6
5	Granada	3	2	0	1	-2	6
6	Sociedad	4	1	2	1	+2	5
7	Celta	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	Ath Madrid	2	1	1	0	+5	4
9	Real Madrid	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Levante	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Osasuna	3	1	0	2	-1	3
12	Ath Bilbao	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Cadiz	3	1	0	2	-2	3
14	Huesca	4	0	3	1	-2	3
15	Valladolid	3	0	2	1	-2	2
16	Eibar	3	0	1	2	-2	1
17	Alaves	4	0	1	3	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Villarreal	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Getafe	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Granada	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Valencia	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Ath Madrid	1	1	0	0	+5	3
6	Betis	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Celta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Valladolid	2	0	2	0	+0	2
9	Eibar	2	0	1	1	-1	1
10	Sociedad	2	0	1	1	-1	1
11	Alaves	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Huesca	2	0	1	1	-2	1
13	Osasuna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Cadiz	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sociedad	2	1	1	0	+3	4
2	Real Madrid	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Cadiz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Osasuna	2	1	0	1	+1	3
5	Levante	2	1	0	1	+0	3
6	Valencia	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Ath Bilbao	2	1	0	1	-1	3
8	Betis	2	1	0	1	-2	3
9	Huesca	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Celta	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Getafe	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Ath Madrid	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Eibar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Valladolid	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Alaves	2	0	0	2	-3	0
16	Villarreal	1	0	0	1	-4	0
17	Granada	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.