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LaLiga2
Referee: Manuel Pérez
Malaga
T U U U U
1–0
Full-time
Eibar
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malaga Eibar
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,8
2,0
Scored
0,7
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,3
This season — LaLiga2 · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 32%
18%
45%
Points per game
1,3
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
45%
36%
Both score Ø 41%
45%
36%
Average goals
1,9
2,1
Scored
0,9
1,1
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

38% Possession 62%
10 Shots 16
5 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
0 Corners 6
2 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Malaga 15. · Eibar 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Santander 11 8 2 1 +9 26
2 Mirandes 12 6 3 3 +3 21
3 Zaragoza 12 6 1 5 +6 19
4 Granada 11 5 4 2 +5 19
5 Castellon 12 6 1 5 +4 19
6 Oviedo 12 5 4 3 +1 19
7 Sp Gijon 11 5 3 3 +4 18
8 Levante 11 5 3 3 +3 18
9 Eibar 11 5 3 3 +1 18
10 Huesca 11 5 2 4 +5 17
11 Elche 11 4 3 4 +1 15
12 Almeria 11 4 3 4 -1 15
13 Burgos 11 4 3 4 -1 15
14 Cordoba 12 4 3 5 -2 15
15 Malaga 11 2 8 1 -1 14
16 Albacete 11 4 2 5 -2 14
17 Cadiz 12 3 4 5 -4 13
18 Eldense 12 3 3 6 -5 12
19 Ferrol 11 2 5 4 -5 11
20 La Coruna 11 2 4 5 -3 10
21 Cartagena 12 2 1 9 -10 7
22 Tenerife 11 1 3 7 -8 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Malaga Eibar
1–0 David Larrubia
15′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Cristian Gutiérrez
↦ Hodei Arrillaga
46′
🔁 Peru Nolaskoain
↦ Matheus Pereira
Luismi 🟨
47′
53′
🟨 José Corpas
Dani Lorenzo ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
55′
58′
🟨 Cristian Gutiérrez
62′
🔁 Antonio Puertas
↦ Martín Merquelanz
Antonio Cordero 🔁
↦ Kevin Medina
71′
A. Moloney 🔁
↦ Dani Lorenzo
71′
Sergio Castel 🔁
↦ Dioni
71′
72′
🔁 Toni Villa
↦ Ander Madariaga
Izan Merino 🔁
↦ Luismi
73′
80′
🔁 Jorge Pascual
↦ Xeber Alkain
84′
🟨 Toni Villa
90′
🟨 Álvaro Carrillo
Álex Pastor 🔁
↦ David Larrubia
91′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Malaga

4-3-3
1 Alfonso Herrero G
2 Gabilondo D
20 Nélson Monte D
4 Einar Galilea D
18 Dani Sánchez D
12 Manu Molina M
19 Luismi M
22 Dani Lorenzo M
10 David Larrubia F
17 Dioni F
11 Kevin Medina F
Bench (12)
26 Antonio Cordero
35 A. Moloney
25 Sergio Castel
29 Izan Merino
5 Álex Pastor
13 Carlos López
9 R. Baturina
16 Diego Murillo
6 Ramón Enríquez
21 Y. Rahmani
24 Julen Lobete
23 Sangalli

Coach: Sergio Pellicer

Eibar

4-2-3-1
1 Daniel Fuzato G
17 José Corpas D
4 Álvaro Carrillo D
23 Anaitz Arbilla D
14 Hodei Arrillaga D
6 Sergio Álvarez M
10 Matheus Pereira M
7 Xeber Alkain M
29 Ander Madariaga M
18 Martín Merquelanz M
9 Jon Bautista F
Bench (9)
3 Cristian Gutiérrez
8 Peru Nolaskoain
20 Antonio Puertas
19 Toni Villa
11 Jorge Pascual
27 Slavy
13 Jonmi Magunagoitia
2 Sergio Cubero
15 K. Hashimoto

Coach: Joseba Etxeberria

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,58
U
2,92
B
2,94
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,56
U2,5 ✓
1,48
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Manuel Pérez · 26 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.