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LaLiga2
Referee: Daniel Trujillo
Oviedo
S U S T T
1–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oviedo Ferrol
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 34%
67%
0%
Average goals
2,5
1,0
Scored
1,3
0,5
Conceded
1,2
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,0
This season — LaLiga2 · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,0
1,0
Scored
0,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

59% Possession 41%
16 Shots 5
3 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Oviedo 17. · Ferrol 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Zaragoza 2 2 0 0 +3 6
2 Andorra 2 2 0 0 +2 6
3 Espanol 2 1 1 0 +2 4
4 Levante 2 1 1 0 +1 4
5 Mirandes 1 1 0 0 +4 3
6 Santander 2 1 0 1 +2 3
7 Leganes 2 1 0 1 +1 3
8 Valladolid 2 1 0 1 +1 3
9 Ferrol 1 1 0 0 +1 3
10 Tenerife 1 1 0 0 +1 3
11 Eldense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
12 Eibar 2 1 0 1 -3 3
13 Albacete 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Amorebieta 1 0 1 0 +0 1
15 Huesca 1 0 1 0 +0 1
16 Burgos 2 0 1 1 -1 1
17 Oviedo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Cartagena 2 0 0 2 -2 0
19 Elche 2 0 0 2 -2 0
20 Sp Gijon 1 0 0 1 -2 0
21 Villarreal B 1 0 0 1 -2 0
22 Alcorcon 2 0 0 2 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Oviedo Ferrol
Mario Hernández 🟨
13′
32′
Josep Señé 0–1
42′
🟥 Julián Delmás
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 Sergio Cubero
↦ Chuca
1–1 Camarasa
Borja Bastón
47′
60′
🔁 Moi Delgado
↦ Iker Losada
60′
🔁 Manu Justo
↦ Sabin Merino
Alemão 🔁
↦ R. Ibarra
61′
61′
🔁 Fran Manzanara
↦ Josep Señé
Abel Bretones 🟨
64′
67′
🟨 Moises Delgado
78′
🔁 Nacho Sánchez
↦ Carlos Vicente
Paulino 🔁
↦ Sebas Moyano
81′
Carlos Pomares 🔁
↦ Dani Calvo
81′
Álex Cardero 🔁
↦ Camarasa
89′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Oviedo

4-4-2
31 Leo Román G
2 Mario Hernández D
4 David Costas D
12 Dani Calvo D
23 Abel Bretones D
7 Viti Rozada M
6 Jimmy Suárez M
10 Camarasa M
22 R. Ibarra M
17 Sebas Moyano F
9 Borja Bastón F
Bench (10)
14 Alemão
18 Paulino
21 Carlos Pomares
32 Álex Cardero
11 Hugo Rama
1 Q. Braat
5 Luismi
34 Yayo
8 Javi Mier
15 Oier Luengo

Coach: Álvaro

Ferrol

4-3-3
25 Ander Cantero G
2 Julián Delmás D
4 Jon García D
5 Enrique Clemente D
18 Brais Martínez D
17 Chuca M
6 Jesús Bernal M
10 Josep Señé M
23 Carlos Vicente F
19 Sabin Merino F
22 Iker Losada F
Bench (10)
24 Sergio Cubero
21 Moi Delgado
9 Manu Justo
16 Fran Manzanara
11 Nacho Sánchez
13 Emilio Bernad
7 Héber Pena
3 Fernando Pumar
1 G. Gazzaniga
8 Álex López

Coach: Cristóbal

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,02
U ✓
2,99
B
4,19
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,69
U2,5 ✓
1,44
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Daniel Trujillo · 44 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.