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LaLiga2
Referee: Jon González
Burgos
T U T S U
0–3
Full-time
Leganes
S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Burgos Leganes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,2
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 39/39 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,4
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 35%
28%
41%
Both score Ø 37%
33%
41%
Average goals
1,6
1,8
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

64% Possession 36%
11 Shots 14
1 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 4
2 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 6
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Burgos 9. · Leganes 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Las Palmas 39 17 16 6 +17 67
2 Eibar 39 18 13 8 +9 67
3 Granada 39 19 9 11 +19 66
4 Alaves 39 18 12 9 +13 66
5 Levante 39 16 17 6 +14 65
6 Albacete 39 16 14 9 +10 62
7 Cartagena 39 16 10 13 +5 58
8 Oviedo 39 15 10 14 -1 55
9 Burgos 39 13 15 11 +3 54
10 Tenerife 39 13 14 12 +5 53
11 Andorra 39 14 10 15 +8 52
12 Mirandes 39 13 13 13 -1 52
13 Zaragoza 39 11 16 12 +0 49
14 Villarreal B 39 13 10 16 -4 49
15 Leganes 39 13 10 16 -6 49
16 Huesca 39 10 18 11 +0 48
17 Sp Gijon 39 11 15 13 -2 48
18 Santander 39 12 12 15 -3 48
19 Malaga 39 9 13 17 -8 40
20 Ponferradina 39 8 15 16 -16 39
21 Ibiza 39 6 11 22 -34 29
22 Lugo 39 5 13 21 -28 28

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Burgos Leganes
Sergio Castel Martínez 🟨
-5′
Dani Barrio 🔁
↦ José Caro
13′
Grego Sierra 🟨
19′
39′
S. Cissé 0–1
Half-time 0–1
Mourad 🔁
↦ Juan Artola
46′
Miguel Atienza 🔁
↦ Grego
46′
Pablo Valcarce 🔁
↦ Miki Muñoz
46′
46′
🔁 Fede Vico
↦ A. Nyom
47′
José Arnáiz 0–2
Jesús Areso 🟨
67′
67′
🟨 José Manuel Arnáiz
68′
S. Cissé 0–3
69′
🟨 Seydouba Cisse
Juan Hernández 🔁
↦ Gaspar Campos
70′
Raúl Navarro 🟨
71′
75′
🔁 Enric Franquesa
↦ José Arnáiz
76′
🔁 G. Shibasaki
↦ Iker Undabarrena
Unai Elguezabal 🟨
78′
89′
🔁 Lalo Aguilar
↦ S. Cissé
92′
🔁 K. Omeruo
↦ Miramón
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Burgos

4-2-3-1
13 José Caro G
19 Jesús Areso D
18 Aitor Córdoba D
20 Grego D
3 Fran García D
6 Raúl Navarro M
14 Unai Elgezabal M
16 Curro Sánchez M
22 Miki Muñoz M
11 Gaspar Campos M
7 Juan Artola F
Bench (11)
1 Dani Barrio
9 Mourad
5 Miguel Atienza
8 Pablo Valcarce
15 Juan Hernández
26 L. Badiashile
21 David Goldar
2 Borja González
4 Míchel Zabaco
23 José Matos
12 Sergio Castel

Coach: Julián Calero

Leganes

4-2-3-1
13 Asier Riesgo G
2 A. Nyom D
3 Jorge Sáenz D
6 Sergio González D
5 Josema Sánchez D
16 Y. Neyou M
20 Iker Undabarrena M
21 Miramón M
32 S. Cissé M
10 José Arnáiz M
19 Jon Karrikaburu F
Bench (11)
14 Fede Vico
15 Enric Franquesa
8 G. Shibasaki
33 Lalo Aguilar
4 K. Omeruo
24 P. Parzyszek
18 Rubén Pardo
7 J. Narváez
1 Dani Jiménez
25 Belman
39 Dorian Hanza

Coach: Carlos Martínez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,58
U
2,76
B ✓
3,15
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,85
U2,5
1,40
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jon González · 71 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.