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LaLiga2
Referee: Aitor Gorostegui
Tenerife
S U S S T
2–1
Full-time
Burgos
U T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tenerife Burgos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,5
2,3
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
0,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,7
This season — LaLiga2 · 40/40 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 27%
23%
30%
Both score Ø 37%
40%
33%
Average goals
1,9
1,6
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
0,9
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

70% Possession 30%
24 Shots 7
7 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
12 Corners 3
1 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 4
5 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Tenerife 11. · Burgos 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Granada 41 21 9 11 +23 72
2 Las Palmas 41 18 17 6 +20 71
3 Alaves 41 19 13 9 +14 70
4 Levante 41 17 18 6 +15 69
5 Eibar 41 18 14 9 +8 68
6 Albacete 41 16 16 9 +10 64
7 Cartagena 41 16 10 15 +0 58
8 Oviedo 40 15 11 14 -1 56
9 Andorra 40 15 10 15 +9 55
10 Burgos 40 13 15 12 +0 54
11 Tenerife 40 13 14 13 +4 53
12 Zaragoza 41 12 16 13 +1 52
13 Huesca 41 11 19 11 +1 52
14 Leganes 40 14 10 16 -3 52
15 Mirandes 41 13 13 15 -5 52
16 Santander 40 13 12 15 -2 51
17 Sp Gijon 41 11 17 13 -2 50
18 Villarreal B 41 13 11 17 -5 50
19 Malaga 41 10 13 18 -7 43
20 Ponferradina 41 8 17 16 -16 41
21 Ibiza 41 7 12 22 -33 33
22 Lugo 41 5 13 23 -31 28

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Tenerife Burgos
Álex Corredera 🟨
35′
40′
Gaspar Campos 0–1
Curro Sánchez
Half-time 0–1
Teto 🟨
50′
Aitor Sanz 🟨
58′
M. Dauda 🔁
↦ Borja Garcés
62′
Elady Zorrilla 🔁
↦ Teto
62′
Carlos Ruiz 🟨
68′
70′
🔁 Miki Muñoz
↦ Álex Bermejo
Sergio González 🔁
↦ Carlos Ruiz
74′
76′
🔁 Juan Hernández
↦ Gaspar Campos
1–1 M. Dauda
79′
Nacho Martínez 🟨
83′
Pablo Larrea 🔁
↦ Aitor Sanz
85′
87′
🔁 Mourad
↦ Curro Sánchez
88′
🔁 Juan Artola
↦ Miguel Atienza
92′
🟨 Matos
2–1 Waldo Rubio
Sergio González
95′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Tenerife

4-2-2-2
1 Juan Soriano G
22 J. Mellot D
14 Carlos Ruiz D
3 Kike Salas D
24 Nacho Martínez D
16 Aitor Sanz M
6 Álex Corredera M
31 Teto M
17 Waldo Rubio M
9 Borja Garcés F
18 Enric Gallego F
Bench (12)
11 M. Dauda
7 Elady Zorrilla
5 Sergio González
15 Pablo Larrea
13 Javi Díaz
20 José Jurado
2 Aitor Buñuel
4 José León
27 Alassán
23 N. Šipčić
8 Javi Alonso
34 Daniel Selma

Coach: Luis Miguel Ramis

Burgos

3-4-3
13 José Caro G
18 Aitor Córdoba D
21 David Goldar D
20 Grego D
19 Jesús Areso M
5 Miguel Atienza M
14 Unai Elgezabal M
23 José Matos M
16 Curro Sánchez F
10 Álex Bermejo F
11 Gaspar Campos F
Bench (10)
22 Miki Muñoz
15 Juan Hernández
9 Mourad
7 Juan Artola
4 Míchel Zabaco
8 Pablo Valcarce
26 L. Badiashile
3 Fran García
2 Borja González
17 Andy

Coach: Julián Calero

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,78
U
3,19
B
5,27
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,74
U2,5
1,43
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Aitor Gorostegui · 18 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
6,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,35 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.