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LaLiga2
Referee: Saúl Ais
Oviedo
S S S S U
1–0
Full-time
Santander
T S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oviedo Santander
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
83%
67%
Points per game
2,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,5
This season — LaLiga2 · 40/40 matches
Win Ø 36%
38%
33%
Points per game
1,4
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 26%
23%
28%
Both score Ø 42%
40%
43%
Average goals
1,6
1,9
Scored
0,8
0,9
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

37% Possession 63%
13 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 2
6 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 6
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Oviedo 9. · Santander 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Granada 41 21 9 11 +23 72
2 Las Palmas 41 18 17 6 +20 71
3 Alaves 41 19 13 9 +14 70
4 Levante 41 17 18 6 +15 69
5 Eibar 41 18 14 9 +8 68
6 Albacete 41 16 16 9 +10 64
7 Cartagena 41 16 10 15 +0 58
8 Tenerife 41 14 14 13 +5 56
9 Oviedo 40 15 11 14 -1 56
10 Andorra 40 15 10 15 +9 55
11 Burgos 41 13 15 13 -1 54
12 Zaragoza 41 12 16 13 +1 52
13 Huesca 41 11 19 11 +1 52
14 Leganes 40 14 10 16 -3 52
15 Mirandes 41 13 13 15 -5 52
16 Santander 40 13 12 15 -2 51
17 Sp Gijon 41 11 17 13 -2 50
18 Villarreal B 41 13 11 17 -5 50
19 Malaga 41 10 13 18 -7 43
20 Ponferradina 41 8 17 16 -16 41
21 Ibiza 41 7 12 22 -33 33
22 Lugo 41 5 13 23 -31 28

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Oviedo Santander
1–0 Dani Calvo
Camarasa
21′
Half-time 1–0
Abel Bretones 🔁
↦ Carlos Pomares
46′
50′
🟨 Dani Fernández
54′
🔁 Yeray Cabanzón
↦ Dani Fernández
54′
🔁 Unai Medina
↦ Jordi Mboula
66′
🔁 Peque Fernández
↦ Marco Sangalli
Manu Vallejo 🔁
↦ Borja Bastón
71′
Mascarenhas 🔁
↦ L. Sequeira
71′
Hugo Rama 🔁
↦ Borja Sánchez
71′
72′
🔁 Arturo Molina
↦ S. Gassama
72′
🔁 Matheus Aiás
↦ Jorge Pombo
Yayo 🔁
↦ Camarasa
81′
85′
🟨 Aritz Aldasoro
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Oviedo

4-4-2
1 Q. Braat G
24 Lucas Ahijado D
4 David Costas D
12 Dani Calvo D
21 Carlos Pomares D
40 Raul Moro M
31 Mangel Prendes M
16 Camarasa M
10 Borja Sánchez M
17 L. Sequeira F
9 Borja Bastón F
Bench (10)
2 Abel Bretones
8 Manu Vallejo
38 Mascarenhas
20 Hugo Rama
34 Yayo
15 Oier Luengo
13 Tomeu Nadal
22 Juanfran
23 Sergi Enrich
11 M. Flores

Coach: Álvaro

Santander

4-2-3-1
13 Jokin Ezkieta G
23 Dani Fernández D
2 Álvaro Mantilla D
4 Pol Moreno D
40 Mario García D
21 Aritz Aldasoro M
20 J. Elitim M
14 Jordi Mboula M
24 Jorge Pombo M
25 Marco Sangalli M
12 S. Gassama F
Bench (12)
41 Yeray Cabanzón
17 Unai Medina
29 Peque Fernández
22 Arturo Molina
19 Matheus Aiás
11 R. Baturina
8 Fausto Tienza
3 Eneko Satrústegui
10 Iñigo Vicente
9 C. Omoigui
1 Miquel Parera
5 Pablo Bobadilla

Coach: José Alberto López

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,20
U
3,09
B
3,49
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,53
U2,5 ✓
1,50
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Saúl Ais · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.