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LaLiga2

Ponferradina

T S U U U

2–1

Full-time

Almeria

T T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ponferradina Almeria

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,0

2,5

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,5

This season — LaLiga2 · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 50%

41%

59%

Points per game

1,5

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 41%

34%

48%

Both score Ø 47%

41%

52%

Average goals

2,1

2,3

Scored

1,1

1,5

Conceded

1,1

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

18 Shots 14

4 Shots on target 5

7 Corners 6

13 Free kicks against 14

3 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ponferradina 7. · Almeria 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Mallorca	30	18	7	5	+23	61
2	Espanol	30	17	7	6	+26	58
3	Almeria	29	17	5	7	+18	56
4	Leganes	30	16	5	9	+10	53
5	Sp Gijon	30	14	10	6	+12	52
6	Vallecano	29	13	7	9	+6	46
7	Ponferradina	29	12	7	10	+0	43
8	Girona	30	11	9	10	-2	42
9	Mirandes	29	11	8	10	+1	41
10	Malaga	29	11	7	11	-6	40
11	Fuenlabrada	30	8	15	7	+1	39
12	Tenerife	29	11	6	12	+1	39
13	Las Palmas	30	10	9	11	-9	39
14	Oviedo	30	8	13	9	+1	37
15	Lugo	29	8	11	10	-4	35
16	Alcorcon	29	8	7	14	-6	31
17	Logrones	30	8	7	15	-19	31
18	Castellon	29	8	5	16	-8	29
19	Cartagena	29	7	8	14	-10	29
20	Zaragoza	29	7	7	15	-8	28
21	Sabadell	30	6	10	14	-10	28
22	Albacete	29	6	8	15	-17	26

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leganes	16	12	1	3	+11	37
2	Espanol	15	11	2	2	+19	35
3	Sp Gijon	15	9	6	0	+12	33
4	Almeria	15	9	4	2	+16	31
5	Mallorca	16	9	3	4	+14	30
6	Vallecano	14	9	2	3	+10	29
7	Tenerife	15	8	4	3	+11	28
8	Las Palmas	15	8	3	4	+5	27
9	Ponferradina	14	7	4	3	+4	25
10	Lugo	14	6	6	2	+6	24
11	Mirandes	15	5	7	3	+3	22
12	Zaragoza	14	6	4	4	+3	22
13	Girona	15	6	4	5	+1	22
14	Castellon	15	7	0	8	+5	21
15	Oviedo	15	5	5	5	+3	20
16	Cartagena	15	5	4	6	+1	19
17	Alcorcon	14	6	1	7	+0	19
18	Malaga	14	4	5	5	-2	17
19	Logrones	14	5	2	7	-6	17
20	Fuenlabrada	15	2	10	3	-1	16
21	Albacete	14	3	5	6	-4	14
22	Sabadell	15	2	7	6	-4	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Mallorca	14	9	4	1	+9	31
2	Almeria	14	8	1	5	+2	25
3	Espanol	15	6	5	4	+7	23
4	Fuenlabrada	15	6	5	4	+2	23
5	Malaga	15	7	2	6	-4	23
6	Girona	15	5	5	5	-3	20
7	Sp Gijon	15	5	4	6	+0	19
8	Mirandes	14	6	1	7	-2	19
9	Ponferradina	15	5	3	7	-4	18
10	Oviedo	15	3	8	4	-2	17
11	Vallecano	15	4	5	6	-4	17
12	Leganes	14	4	4	6	-1	16
13	Sabadell	15	4	3	8	-6	15
14	Logrones	16	3	5	8	-13	14
15	Alcorcon	15	2	6	7	-6	12
16	Albacete	15	3	3	9	-13	12
17	Las Palmas	15	2	6	7	-14	12
18	Lugo	15	2	5	8	-10	11
19	Tenerife	14	3	2	9	-10	11
20	Cartagena	14	2	4	8	-11	10
21	Castellon	14	1	5	8	-13	8
22	Zaragoza	15	1	3	11	-11	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.