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LaLiga2
Vallecano
T S T U T
1–1
Full-time
Ponferradina
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vallecano Ponferradina
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
3,0
1,5
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,7
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,5
This season — LaLiga2 · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 46%
46%
46%
Points per game
1,6
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
42%
35%
Both score Ø 37%
38%
35%
Average goals
2,1
2,1
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

8 Shots 7
2 Shots on target 6
3 Corners 2
19 Free kicks against 17
4 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Vallecano 6. · Ponferradina 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Mallorca 26 16 6 4 +23 54
2 Espanol 26 16 4 6 +22 52
3 Almeria 26 15 4 7 +14 49
4 Leganes 27 15 4 8 +10 49
5 Sp Gijon 26 13 7 6 +10 46
6 Vallecano 26 12 5 9 +5 41
7 Ponferradina 26 12 4 10 +0 40
8 Mirandes 26 10 7 9 +4 37
9 Girona 26 10 7 9 -2 37
10 Las Palmas 26 9 8 9 -5 35
11 Fuenlabrada 26 7 13 6 +0 34
12 Malaga 26 9 7 10 -8 34
13 Lugo 26 8 9 9 -1 33
14 Tenerife 26 9 6 11 -2 33
15 Oviedo 26 7 11 8 +2 32
16 Logrones 26 8 6 12 -13 30
17 Cartagena 27 7 7 13 -9 28
18 Sabadell 27 6 9 12 -7 27
19 Alcorcon 26 7 6 13 -8 27
20 Zaragoza 26 6 7 13 -7 25
21 Albacete 27 6 7 14 -15 25
22 Castellon 26 6 4 16 -13 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,86
U ✓
3,07
B
4,81
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,31
U2,5 ✓
1,58
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.