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LaLiga2

Almeria

U S S S U

2–3

Full-time

Ponferradina

U T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Almeria Ponferradina

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

2,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,2

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,2

This season — LaLiga2 · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 38%

45%

30%

Points per game

1,8

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

50%

30%

Both score Ø 60%

60%

Average goals

2,6

2,4

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

1,0

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

18 Shots 16

7 Shots on target 5

7 Corners 2

21 Free kicks against 16

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Almeria 2. · Ponferradina 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cadiz	21	13	4	4	+12	43
2	Almeria	20	9	9	2	+14	36
3	Zaragoza	20	9	6	5	+8	33
4	Fuenlabrada	20	9	6	5	+5	33
5	Huesca	20	10	2	8	+6	32
6	Numancia	21	8	8	5	+5	32
7	Las Palmas	21	9	5	7	+2	32
8	Girona	20	9	4	7	+4	31
9	Elche	21	8	7	6	+4	31
10	Mirandes	20	7	7	6	-4	28
11	Ponferradina	20	6	9	5	+4	27
12	Albacete	20	8	3	9	-7	27
13	Alcorcon	20	6	8	6	-1	26
14	Vallecano	20	5	10	5	+3	25
15	Sp Gijon	21	6	7	8	-1	25
16	Malaga	21	4	10	7	-2	22
17	Oviedo	21	5	7	9	-6	22
18	Lugo	21	4	10	7	-8	22
19	Extremadura UD	21	5	6	10	-9	21
20	Tenerife	21	4	7	10	-6	19
21	Santander	21	2	12	7	-5	18
22	La Coruna	21	2	9	10	-18	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cadiz	10	7	2	1	+9	23
2	Girona	10	7	2	1	+9	23
3	Huesca	10	7	1	2	+9	22
4	Numancia	11	6	3	2	+7	21
5	Almeria	9	6	2	1	+10	20
6	Ponferradina	11	5	5	1	+8	20
7	Mirandes	11	5	5	1	+6	20
8	Fuenlabrada	10	5	4	1	+5	19
9	Zaragoza	11	5	3	3	+6	18
10	Las Palmas	11	5	3	3	+3	18
11	Sp Gijon	11	4	3	4	+3	15
12	Vallecano	9	3	4	2	+2	13
13	Elche	10	3	4	3	+1	13
14	Lugo	11	3	4	4	-4	13
15	Santander	11	2	6	3	+2	12
16	Malaga	10	2	6	2	+1	12
17	Oviedo	10	2	6	2	-1	12
18	Albacete	10	3	2	5	-5	11
19	La Coruna	10	2	4	4	-5	10
20	Alcorcon	10	3	1	6	-6	10
21	Extremadura UD	10	2	3	5	-4	9
22	Tenerife	10	1	5	4	-4	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cadiz	11	6	2	3	+3	20
2	Elche	11	5	3	3	+3	18
3	Alcorcon	10	3	7	0	+5	16
4	Almeria	11	3	7	1	+4	16
5	Albacete	10	5	1	4	-2	16
6	Zaragoza	9	4	3	2	+2	15
7	Fuenlabrada	10	4	2	4	+0	14
8	Las Palmas	10	4	2	4	-1	14
9	Vallecano	11	2	6	3	+1	12
10	Extremadura UD	11	3	3	5	-5	12
11	Tenerife	11	3	2	6	-2	11
12	Numancia	10	2	5	3	-2	11
13	Huesca	10	3	1	6	-3	10
14	Malaga	11	2	4	5	-3	10
15	Sp Gijon	10	2	4	4	-4	10
16	Oviedo	11	3	1	7	-5	10
17	Lugo	10	1	6	3	-4	9
18	Girona	10	2	2	6	-5	8
19	Mirandes	9	2	2	5	-10	8
20	Ponferradina	9	1	4	4	-4	7
21	Santander	10	0	6	4	-7	6
22	La Coruna	11	0	5	6	-13	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.