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LaLiga2

Almeria

S U S T T

4–1

Full-time

Lugo

S T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Almeria Lugo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

3,2

2,8

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,2

This season — LaLiga2 · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 45%

58%

31%

Points per game

1,9

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 41%

50%

31%

Both score Ø 50%

54%

46%

Average goals

2,4

2,0

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

0,9

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

11 Shots 15

8 Shots on target 5

3 Corners 7

15 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Almeria 3. · Lugo 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Mallorca	26	16	6	4	+23	54
2	Espanol	26	16	4	6	+22	52
3	Almeria	26	15	4	7	+14	49
4	Leganes	27	15	4	8	+10	49
5	Sp Gijon	26	13	7	6	+10	46
6	Vallecano	27	12	6	9	+5	42
7	Ponferradina	27	12	5	10	+0	41
8	Mirandes	26	10	7	9	+4	37
9	Girona	26	10	7	9	-2	37
10	Las Palmas	26	9	8	9	-5	35
11	Fuenlabrada	26	7	13	6	+0	34
12	Malaga	26	9	7	10	-8	34
13	Lugo	26	8	9	9	-1	33
14	Tenerife	26	9	6	11	-2	33
15	Oviedo	26	7	11	8	+2	32
16	Logrones	26	8	6	12	-13	30
17	Cartagena	27	7	7	13	-9	28
18	Sabadell	27	6	9	12	-7	27
19	Alcorcon	26	7	6	13	-8	27
20	Zaragoza	26	6	7	13	-7	25
21	Albacete	27	6	7	14	-15	25
22	Castellon	26	6	4	16	-13	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leganes	14	12	0	2	+13	36
2	Espanol	13	10	1	2	+15	31
3	Sp Gijon	13	8	5	0	+10	29
4	Almeria	13	8	3	2	+13	27
5	Mallorca	14	8	2	4	+13	26
6	Vallecano	13	8	2	3	+9	26
7	Las Palmas	13	8	2	3	+6	26
8	Ponferradina	13	7	3	3	+4	24
9	Lugo	13	6	5	2	+6	23
10	Tenerife	13	6	4	3	+7	22
11	Girona	13	6	3	4	+2	21
12	Zaragoza	13	5	4	4	+2	19
13	Mirandes	13	4	6	3	+2	18
14	Cartagena	14	5	3	6	+1	18
15	Oviedo	13	4	5	4	+4	17
16	Logrones	12	5	2	5	-4	17
17	Alcorcon	13	5	1	7	-4	16
18	Castellon	13	5	0	8	+0	15
19	Fuenlabrada	13	2	9	2	+0	15
20	Malaga	13	3	5	5	-4	14
21	Albacete	13	3	4	6	-4	13
22	Sabadell	14	2	6	6	-4	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Mallorca	12	8	4	0	+10	28
2	Almeria	13	7	1	5	+1	22
3	Espanol	13	6	3	4	+7	21
4	Malaga	13	6	2	5	-4	20
5	Mirandes	13	6	1	6	+2	19
6	Fuenlabrada	13	5	4	4	+0	19
7	Sp Gijon	13	5	2	6	+0	17
8	Ponferradina	14	5	2	7	-4	17
9	Vallecano	14	4	4	6	-4	16
10	Girona	13	4	4	5	-4	16
11	Oviedo	13	3	6	4	-2	15
12	Sabadell	13	4	3	6	-3	15
13	Leganes	13	3	4	6	-3	13
14	Logrones	14	3	4	7	-9	13
15	Albacete	14	3	3	8	-11	12
16	Alcorcon	13	2	5	6	-4	11
17	Tenerife	13	3	2	8	-9	11
18	Lugo	13	2	4	7	-7	10
19	Cartagena	13	2	4	7	-10	10
20	Las Palmas	13	1	6	6	-11	9
21	Castellon	13	1	4	8	-13	7
22	Zaragoza	13	1	3	9	-9	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.