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LaLiga2

Almeria

T S S S T

3–1

Full-time

Ponferradina

S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Almeria Ponferradina

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,2

2,0

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,3

This season — LaLiga2 · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 55%

63%

47%

Points per game

2,0

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

42%

Both score Ø 40%

42%

37%

Average goals

2,1

2,2

Scored

1,3

1,1

Conceded

0,7

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,6

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

10 Shots 9

5 Shots on target 4

4 Corners 6

15 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Almeria 3. · Ponferradina 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Espanol	20	13	3	4	+20	42
2	Mallorca	19	12	5	2	+19	41
3	Almeria	19	12	2	5	+11	38
4	Vallecano	20	10	4	6	+7	34
5	Leganes	20	10	4	6	+5	34
6	Sp Gijon	19	9	5	5	+5	32
7	Ponferradina	19	9	3	7	-1	30
8	Girona	19	8	4	7	-1	28
9	Mirandes	20	7	6	7	+2	27
10	Fuenlabrada	20	6	9	5	+0	27
11	Logrones	20	8	3	9	-6	27
12	Malaga	20	7	6	7	-7	27
13	Lugo	19	7	5	7	+0	26
14	Las Palmas	20	6	8	6	-4	26
15	Oviedo	19	6	7	6	+3	25
16	Tenerife	20	6	5	9	-4	23
17	Cartagena	20	5	5	10	-5	20
18	Alcorcon	20	5	5	10	-6	20
19	Castellon	20	5	4	11	-8	19
20	Sabadell	19	5	3	11	-7	18
21	Zaragoza	20	3	6	11	-9	15
22	Albacete	20	3	6	11	-14	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Espanol	10	8	1	1	+13	25
2	Vallecano	10	8	1	1	+12	25
3	Leganes	10	8	0	2	+8	24
4	Sp Gijon	10	6	4	0	+8	22
5	Mallorca	10	6	2	2	+12	20
6	Las Palmas	10	6	2	2	+4	20
7	Almeria	9	5	2	2	+7	17
8	Lugo	9	5	2	2	+4	17
9	Ponferradina	10	5	2	3	+1	17
10	Logrones	10	5	1	4	+0	16
11	Tenerife	10	4	3	3	+3	15
12	Mirandes	10	3	5	2	+2	14
13	Girona	9	4	2	3	+2	14
14	Oviedo	10	3	4	3	+3	13
15	Zaragoza	10	3	4	3	+0	13
16	Alcorcon	10	4	1	5	-3	13
17	Castellon	10	4	0	6	+0	12
18	Fuenlabrada	10	2	6	2	+0	12
19	Cartagena	10	3	2	5	+0	11
20	Albacete	10	2	4	4	-3	10
21	Malaga	9	2	4	3	-3	10
22	Sabadell	10	2	2	6	-4	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Mallorca	9	6	3	0	+7	21
2	Almeria	10	7	0	3	+4	21
3	Espanol	10	5	2	3	+7	17
4	Malaga	11	5	2	4	-4	17
5	Fuenlabrada	10	4	3	3	+0	15
6	Girona	10	4	2	4	-3	14
7	Mirandes	10	4	1	5	+0	13
8	Ponferradina	9	4	1	4	-2	13
9	Oviedo	9	3	3	3	+0	12
10	Logrones	10	3	2	5	-6	11
11	Sabadell	9	3	1	5	-3	10
12	Leganes	10	2	4	4	-3	10
13	Sp Gijon	9	3	1	5	-3	10
14	Lugo	10	2	3	5	-4	9
15	Cartagena	10	2	3	5	-5	9
16	Vallecano	10	2	3	5	-5	9
17	Tenerife	10	2	2	6	-7	8
18	Alcorcon	10	1	4	5	-3	7
19	Castellon	10	1	4	5	-8	7
20	Las Palmas	10	0	6	4	-8	6
21	Albacete	10	1	2	7	-11	5
22	Zaragoza	10	0	2	8	-9	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.