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Serie B
Referee: A Santoro
Venezia
S S T S S
2–1
Full-time
Catanzaro
S S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Venezia Catanzaro
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,2
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,5
This season — Serie B · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 54%
58%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,9
Scored
1,4
1,6
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

28% Possession 72%
10 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
1 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Venezia 2. · Catanzaro 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 12 9 2 1 +16 29
2 Venezia 12 7 3 2 +7 24
3 Palermo 12 7 2 3 +9 23
4 Modena 12 6 4 2 +3 22
5 Catanzaro 12 6 3 3 +3 21
6 Cremonese 12 5 4 3 +5 19
7 Como 11 5 3 3 +1 18
8 Bari 12 3 8 1 +2 17
9 Sudtirol 11 4 4 3 +3 16
10 Cosenza 12 4 4 4 +3 16
11 Cittadella 12 4 4 4 -3 16
12 Reggiana 12 3 6 3 -1 15
13 Brescia 11 3 4 4 +0 13
14 Pisa 12 3 4 5 -2 13
15 Ascoli 12 3 3 6 -3 12
16 Sampdoria 12 3 3 6 -4 12
17 Lecco 11 2 3 6 -8 9
18 Spezia 12 1 6 5 -8 9
19 Ternana 12 1 3 8 -6 6
20 FeralpiSalo 12 1 3 8 -17 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Venezia Catanzaro
5′
🟨 Mario Šitum
1–0 J. Pohjanpalo
25′
40′
A. Ghion 1–1
J. Vandeputte
Half-time 2–1
2–1 D. Johnsen
J. Pohjanpalo
46′
Giorgio Altare 🟨
58′
B. Bjarkason 🔁
↦ M. Ellertsson
65′
F. Zampano 🔁
↦ N. Pierini
65′
67′
🔁 E. Brignola
↦ D. Sounas
68′
🔁 G. Ambrosino
↦ M. Stoppa
A. Dembélé 🔁
↦ M. Šverko
74′
74′
🔁 K. Miranda
↦ D. Veroli
74′
🔁 P. Katseris
↦ M. Šitum
C. Gytkjær 🔁
↦ J. Pohjanpalo
75′
Bjarki Steinn Bjarkason ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
88′
Bjarki Steinn Bjarkason 🟥
89′
N. Lella 🔁
↦ D. Johnsen
89′
89′
🔁 T. Biasci
↦ L. Krajnc
Christian Gytkjær 🟨
91′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Venezia

4-4-2
12 Bruno G
27 A. Candela D
15 G. Altare D
13 M. Modolo D
33 M. Šverko D
10 N. Pierini M
8 T. Tessmann M
6 G. Busio M
77 M. Ellertsson M
20 J. Pohjanpalo F
17 D. Johnsen F
Bench (12)
19 B. Bjarkason
7 F. Zampano
25 A. Dembélé
9 C. Gytkjær
24 N. Lella
31 M. Ullmann
18 M. Jajalo
21 D. Cheryshev
85 G. Pürg
99 M. Olivieri
38 M. Kofod Andersen
23 M. Grandi

Coach: P. Vanoli

Catanzaro

4-4-2
1 A. Fulignati G
92 M. Šitum D
23 N. Brighenti D
32 L. Krajnc D
72 D. Veroli D
24 D. Sounas M
18 A. Ghion M
21 M. Pompetti M
27 J. Vandeputte M
19 M. Stoppa F
9 P. Iemmello F
Bench (11)
17 E. Brignola
70 G. Ambrosino
44 K. Miranda
77 P. Katseris
28 T. Biasci
33 A. Oliveri
22 E. Borrelli
7 L. D'Andrea
5 D. Krastev
16 A. Sala
20 S. Pontisso

Coach: V. Vivarini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,03
U
3,36
B
3,66
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,92
U2,5
1,86
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Santoro · 51 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.