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Championship

Referee: A Davies

Luton

T S U S T

2–2

Full-time

Coventry

T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Luton Coventry

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,2

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,2

3,5

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,2

2,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-1,5

This season — Championship · 8/5 matches

Win Ø 13%

25%

Points per game

1,1

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

25%

60%

Both score Ø 55%

50%

60%

Average goals

1,9

3,2

Scored

0,9

1,0

Conceded

1,0

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-1,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

48% Possession 52%

11 Shots 12

4 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 3

1 Offside 1

7 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Luton 19. · Coventry 24. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sheffield United	9	6	2	1	+12	20
2	Norwich	8	5	1	2	+6	16
3	Blackburn	9	5	0	4	+0	15
4	Reading	8	5	0	3	-2	15
5	Burnley	9	3	5	1	+6	14
6	Bristol City	8	4	2	2	+5	14
7	Watford	9	3	4	2	+0	13
8	Wigan	8	3	4	1	-1	13
9	Preston	9	2	6	1	+1	12
10	Sunderland	8	3	2	3	+2	11
11	QPR	8	3	2	3	+1	11
12	Stoke	9	3	2	4	+0	11
13	Blackpool	8	3	2	3	-1	11
14	Cardiff	9	3	2	4	-3	11
15	Hull	9	3	2	4	-7	11
16	Rotherham	7	2	4	1	+3	10
17	Millwall	8	3	1	4	-2	10
18	West Brom	8	1	6	1	+2	9
19	Luton	8	2	3	3	-1	9
20	Middlesbrough	9	2	3	4	-2	9
21	Swansea	9	2	3	4	-5	9
22	Birmingham	8	2	2	4	-3	8
23	Huddersfield	8	1	1	6	-5	4
24	Coventry	5	0	1	4	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sheffield United	4	4	0	0	+10	12
2	Reading	4	4	0	0	+6	12
3	Norwich	4	3	1	0	+6	10
4	Bristol City	4	3	0	1	+5	9
5	Millwall	4	3	0	1	+4	9
6	Blackburn	5	3	0	2	+2	9
7	Watford	4	3	0	1	+2	9
8	Hull	5	3	0	2	-2	9
9	Rotherham	4	2	2	0	+6	8
10	Middlesbrough	5	2	2	1	+1	8
11	QPR	4	2	1	1	+2	7
12	Cardiff	4	2	1	1	+1	7
13	West Brom	4	1	3	0	+3	6
14	Burnley	4	1	3	0	+2	6
15	Sunderland	4	1	2	1	+2	5
16	Stoke	4	1	2	1	+1	5
17	Huddersfield	5	1	1	3	-1	4
18	Birmingham	4	1	1	2	-1	4
19	Blackpool	4	1	1	2	-1	4
20	Preston	5	0	4	1	-1	4
21	Swansea	5	1	1	3	-5	4
22	Wigan	4	0	3	1	-4	3
23	Luton	4	0	2	2	-2	2
24	Coventry	1	0	0	1	-1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Wigan	4	3	1	0	+3	10
2	Burnley	5	2	2	1	+4	8
3	Sheffield United	5	2	2	1	+2	8
4	Preston	4	2	2	0	+2	8
5	Luton	4	2	1	1	+1	7
6	Blackpool	4	2	1	1	+0	7
7	Sunderland	4	2	0	2	+0	6
8	Norwich	4	2	0	2	+0	6
9	Stoke	5	2	0	3	-1	6
10	Blackburn	4	2	0	2	-2	6
11	Bristol City	4	1	2	1	+0	5
12	Swansea	4	1	2	1	+0	5
13	QPR	4	1	1	2	-1	4
14	Watford	5	0	4	1	-2	4
15	Birmingham	4	1	1	2	-2	4
16	Cardiff	5	1	1	3	-4	4
17	West Brom	4	0	3	1	-1	3
18	Reading	4	1	0	3	-8	3
19	Rotherham	3	0	2	1	-3	2
20	Hull	4	0	2	2	-5	2
21	Middlesbrough	4	0	1	3	-3	1
22	Coventry	4	0	1	3	-5	1
23	Millwall	4	0	1	3	-6	1
24	Huddersfield	3	0	0	3	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.