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Championship
Referee: L Doughty
Luton
S T U S S
3–3
Full-time
Huddersfield
T T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Luton Huddersfield
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,7
0,8
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,8
This season — Championship · 11/10 matches
Win Ø 28%
36%
20%
Points per game
1,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
27%
60%
Both score Ø 53%
45%
60%
Average goals
2,1
2,6
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
0,9
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–2

47% Possession 53%
24 Shots 3
10 Shots on target 3
7 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 7
9 Corners 5
1 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Luton 9. · Huddersfield 23.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sheffield United 11 7 3 1 +14 24
2 Norwich 11 7 2 2 +8 23
3 Reading 11 7 0 4 -2 21
4 Burnley 11 4 6 1 +7 18
5 QPR 11 5 3 3 +4 18
6 Blackburn 11 6 0 5 -1 18
7 Watford 11 4 5 2 +4 17
8 Sunderland 11 4 4 3 +5 16
9 Luton 11 4 4 3 +3 16
10 Wigan 10 4 4 2 +0 16
11 Swansea 11 4 3 4 -1 15
12 Rotherham 10 3 5 2 +4 14
13 Bristol City 11 4 2 5 +2 14
14 Preston 11 2 7 2 -1 13
15 Birmingham 11 3 4 4 -2 13
16 Millwall 11 4 1 6 -4 13
17 Stoke 11 3 3 5 -4 12
18 Cardiff 11 3 3 5 -4 12
19 Blackpool 11 3 2 6 -6 11
20 Hull 11 3 2 6 -12 11
21 West Brom 11 1 7 3 +0 10
22 Middlesbrough 10 2 4 4 -2 10
23 Huddersfield 10 2 1 7 -6 7
24 Coventry 7 0 3 4 -6 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Luton Huddersfield
11′
C. Morris 1–0
own goal
2–0 E. Adebayo
C. Morris
18′
32′
J. Rhodes 2–1
3–1 E. Adebayo
C. Morris
37′
Half-time 4–1
4–1 J. Clark
46′
P. Mpanzu 🔁
↦ H. Lansbury
46′
46′
🔁 O. Turton
↦ L. Mbete
64′
🔁 C. Mahoney
↦ J. Rhodes
70′
B. Jackson 4–2
S. Thomas
H. Cornick 🔁
↦ E. Adebayo
80′
S. Bradley 🔁
↦ F. Onyedinma
80′
81′
🔁 K. Kessler
↦ B. Jackson
82′
🔁 J. Rudoni
↦ D. Holmes
90′
🔁 W. Boyle
↦ E. Camara
91′
🟨 David Kasumu
94′
🟨 David Kasumu
94′
🟥 David Kasumu
Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

Luton

3-5-2
34 E. Horvath G
2 J. Bree D
4 T. Lockyer D
3 D. Potts D
23 F. Onyedinma M
22 A. Campbell M
12 H. Lansbury M
18 J. Clark M
29 A. Bell M
9 C. Morris F
11 E. Adebayo F
Bench (7)
17 P. Mpanzu
7 H. Cornick
5 S. Bradley
45 A. Doughty
43 Z. Nelson
21 H. Isted
42 C. Pettit

Coach: N. Jones

Huddersfield

3-4-1-2
21 L. Nicholls G
32 T. Lees D
39 M. Helik D
3 L. Mbete D
7 S. Thomas M
18 D. Kasumu M
24 E. Camara M
30 B. Jackson M
19 D. Holmes F
9 J. Rhodes F
25 D. Ward F
Bench (7)
2 O. Turton
11 C. Mahoney
16 K. Kessler
22 J. Rudoni
12 W. Boyle
41 N. Bilokapić
14 J. Ruffels

Coach: M. Fotheringham

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,77
U ✓
3,51
B
4,94
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,15
U2,5
1,69
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L Doughty · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.