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Championship

Referee: M Donohue

QPR

T T U S U

2–0

Full-time

Luton

U S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

QPR Luton

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,0

2,3

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,3

This season — Championship · 18/17 matches

Win Ø 40%

39%

41%

Points per game

1,4

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

61%

59%

Both score Ø 57%

72%

41%

Average goals

3,1

3,0

Scored

1,6

1,7

Conceded

1,4

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

53% Possession 47%

8 Shots 16

2 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 0

4 Corners 4

0 Offside 4

12 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match QPR 7. · Luton 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fulham	18	13	2	3	+31	41
2	Bournemouth	18	12	5	1	+21	41
3	West Brom	18	10	5	3	+13	35
4	Coventry	18	10	3	5	+7	33
5	Stoke	17	8	4	5	+3	28
6	Luton	17	7	5	5	+7	26
7	QPR	18	7	5	6	+3	26
8	Blackburn	17	7	5	5	+2	26
9	Swansea	18	7	5	6	+1	26
10	Huddersfield	16	7	4	5	+3	25
11	Middlesbrough	18	7	4	7	+2	25
12	Millwall	17	6	7	4	+0	25
13	Blackpool	17	7	4	6	-1	25
14	Reading	18	8	1	9	-4	25
15	Preston	18	6	6	6	-3	24
16	Birmingham	18	6	4	8	-4	22
17	Bristol City	18	6	4	8	-7	22
18	Sheffield United	17	6	3	8	+0	21
19	Nott'm Forest	15	5	3	7	-1	18
20	Derby	18	3	9	6	-4	18
21	Cardiff	18	4	4	10	-14	16
22	Peterboro	17	4	3	10	-15	15
23	Peterborough	17	4	3	10	-15	15
24	Hull	18	3	3	12	-12	12
25	Barnsley	17	2	5	10	-13	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Coventry	10	8	1	1	+14	25
2	West Brom	9	6	3	0	+11	21
3	Bournemouth	9	6	2	1	+12	20
4	Fulham	8	6	1	1	+14	19
5	Swansea	9	5	3	1	+9	18
6	Preston	9	5	3	1	+4	18
7	Luton	9	5	2	2	+8	17
8	Stoke	8	5	2	1	+5	17
9	Blackburn	9	5	2	2	+3	17
10	Middlesbrough	9	5	1	3	+5	16
11	Huddersfield	7	5	1	1	+5	16
12	Reading	9	5	1	3	+3	16
13	QPR	8	4	3	1	+5	15
14	Millwall	9	4	3	2	+1	15
15	Sheffield United	9	4	1	4	+6	13
16	Blackpool	9	4	1	4	-2	13
17	Peterboro	9	3	3	3	+2	12
18	Peterborough	9	3	3	3	+2	12
19	Derby	8	2	5	1	+1	11
20	Birmingham	9	3	2	4	-3	11
21	Barnsley	9	2	2	5	-5	8
22	Bristol City	8	1	4	3	-3	7
23	Nott'm Forest	8	2	1	5	-5	7
24	Cardiff	9	2	1	6	-7	7
25	Hull	9	1	2	6	-7	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fulham	10	7	1	2	+17	22
2	Bournemouth	9	6	3	0	+9	21
3	Bristol City	10	5	0	5	-4	15
4	West Brom	9	4	2	3	+2	14
5	Blackpool	8	3	3	2	+1	12
6	Nott'm Forest	7	3	2	2	+4	11
7	Birmingham	9	3	2	4	-1	11
8	QPR	10	3	2	5	-2	11
9	Stoke	9	3	2	4	-2	11
10	Millwall	8	2	4	2	-1	10
11	Luton	8	2	3	3	-1	9
12	Blackburn	8	2	3	3	-1	9
13	Huddersfield	9	2	3	4	-2	9
14	Middlesbrough	9	2	3	4	-3	9
15	Cardiff	9	2	3	4	-7	9
16	Reading	9	3	0	6	-7	9
17	Sheffield United	8	2	2	4	-6	8
18	Coventry	8	2	2	4	-7	8
19	Swansea	9	2	2	5	-8	8
20	Derby	10	1	4	5	-5	7
21	Hull	9	2	1	6	-5	7
22	Preston	9	1	3	5	-7	6
23	Barnsley	8	0	3	5	-8	3
24	Peterboro	8	1	0	7	-17	3
25	Peterborough	8	1	0	7	-17	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.