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Serie A
Referee: Alberto Ruben Arena
Atalanta
U S S S T
1–1
Full-time
Pisa
S T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Atalanta Pisa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,3
Scored
2,2
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,92 xG 0,63
66% Possession 34%
21 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
10 Corners 4
0 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Atalanta Pisa
26′
I. Hien 1–0
own goal
Daniel Maldini 🟨
28′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 G. Scamacca
M. Pasalic
50′
54′
🔁 M. Nzola
↦ H. Meister
61′
🔁 J. Cuadrado
↦ M. Tramoni
62′
🔁 E. Akinsanmiro
↦ S. Moreo
Ederson 🔁
↦ M. Pasalic
71′
K. Sulemana 🔁
↦ D. Maldini
71′
N. Krstovic 🔁
↦ G. Scamacca
72′
78′
🔁 A. Calabresi
↦ D. Denoon
78′
🔁 G. Piccinini
↦ M. Marin
Kamaldeen Sulemana 🟨
83′
L. Samardzic 🔁
↦ C. De Ketelaere
84′
O. Kossounou 🔁
↦ G. Scalvini
88′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Atalanta

3-4-2-1
29 M. Carnesecchi G
42 G. Scalvini D
4 I. Hien D
19 B. Djimsiti D
16 R. Bellanova M
15 M. De Roon M
8 M. Pasalic M
59 N. Zalewski M
17 C. De Ketelaere F
70 D. Maldini F
9 G. Scamacca F
Bench (12)
31 F. Rossi
57 M. Sportiello
3 O. Kossounou
69 H. Ahanor
77 D. Zappacosta
94 G. Bonfanti
10 L. Samardzic
13 Ederson
44 M. Brescianini
47 L. Bernasconi
7 K. Sulemana
90 N. Krstovic

Coach: Ivan Jurić

Pisa

3-4-2-1
1 A. Semper G
44 D. Denoon D
4 A. Caracciolo D
5 S. Canestrelli D
15 I. Toure M
6 M. Marin M
20 M. Aebischer M
3 S. Angori M
32 S. Moreo F
10 M. Tramoni F
9 H. Meister F
Bench (13)
12 Nicolas Andrade
22 S. Scuffet
11 J. Cuadrado
33 A. Calabresi
76 J. Mbambi
7 M. Leris
8 M. Hojholt
14 E. Akinsanmiro
36 G. Piccinini
72 G. Maucci
77 M. Durmush
16 L. Buffon
18 M. Nzola

Coach: Alberto Gilardino

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,38
U ✓
4,86
B
7,63
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,61
U2,5 ✓
2,24
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Alberto Ruben Arena · 13 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Average

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.