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Eliteserien

Referee: Mohammad Usman Aslam

Haugesund

T T T T S

2–3

Full-time

Valerenga

T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Haugesund Valerenga

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

3,2

3,7

Scored

0,7

2,0

Conceded

2,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,8

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 23%

39%

Points per game

0,3

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

61%

50%

Both score Ø 45%

33%

56%

Average goals

3,0

3,1

Scored

0,4

1,6

Conceded

2,6

1,6

Goal diff per game

-2,1

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,06 xG 1,48

49% Possession 51%

9 Shots 15

6 Shots on target 7

2 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 1

2 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 14

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Haugesund 16. · Valerenga 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	19	13	3	3	+32	+30.0	42
2	Viking	19	13	3	3	+21	+17.2	42
3	Brann	18	11	3	4	+7	+14.5	36
4	Tromso	18	10	3	5	+5	+5.0	33
5	Rosenborg	18	8	6	4	+3	+6.9	30
6	Sandefjord	18	9	1	8	+9	-4.3	28
7	KFUM Oslo	19	7	6	6	+9	+5.8	27
8	Fredrikstad	18	7	5	6	+3	-2.7	26
9	Molde	18	7	3	8	+2	+0.5	24
10	Valerenga	18	7	3	8	+0	-2.9	24
11	Sarpsborg 08	18	5	7	6	+0	+11.3	22
12	Ham-Kam	19	5	6	8	-10	-11.6	21
13	Kristiansund	18	5	5	8	-13	-13.6	20
14	Bryne	18	5	4	9	-9	-4.8	19
15	Stromsgodset	18	3	0	15	-21	-21.3	9
16	Haugesund	18	1	2	15	-38	-30.0	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sandefjord	9	8	0	1	+19	+2.1	24
2	Bodo/Glimt	10	7	1	2	+18	+16.2	22
3	Viking	9	6	2	1	+12	+10.8	20
4	Brann	9	6	2	1	+6	+9.2	20
5	Rosenborg	9	5	4	0	+10	+9.5	19
6	Fredrikstad	10	6	1	3	+7	-1.2	19
7	Tromso	9	5	1	3	+3	+6.2	16
8	KFUM Oslo	10	4	3	3	+7	+4.4	15
9	Valerenga	9	4	2	3	+5	+1.2	14
10	Bryne	9	4	2	3	-1	+3.4	14
11	Molde	9	4	1	4	+2	+5.3	13
12	Ham-Kam	9	3	3	3	-4	-4.7	12
13	Sarpsborg 08	8	2	3	3	+1	+4.2	9
14	Kristiansund	9	2	3	4	-5	-7.2	9
15	Haugesund	9	1	2	6	-18	-9.3	5
16	Stromsgodset	9	1	0	8	-14	-9.7	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	10	7	1	2	+9	+6.4	22
2	Bodo/Glimt	9	6	2	1	+14	+13.8	20
3	Tromso	9	5	2	2	+2	-1.2	17
4	Brann	9	5	1	3	+1	+5.4	16
5	Sarpsborg 08	10	3	4	3	-1	+7.0	13
6	KFUM Oslo	9	3	3	3	+2	+1.5	12
7	Molde	9	3	2	4	+0	-4.8	11
8	Rosenborg	9	3	2	4	-7	-2.5	11
9	Kristiansund	9	3	2	4	-8	-6.4	11
10	Valerenga	9	3	1	5	-5	-4.1	10
11	Ham-Kam	10	2	3	5	-6	-6.9	9
12	Fredrikstad	8	1	4	3	-4	-1.6	7
13	Stromsgodset	9	2	0	7	-7	-11.6	6
14	Bryne	9	1	2	6	-8	-8.3	5
15	Sandefjord	9	1	1	7	-10	-6.4	4
16	Haugesund	9	0	0	9	-20	-20.8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.