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Süper Lig
Referee: A Akarsu
Kayserispor
S T U T U
0–4
Full-time
Galatasaray
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kayserispor Galatasaray
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
17%
100%
Points per game
1,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
83%
0%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,2
2,5
Conceded
1,5
0,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+2,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 1/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
1,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
1,0
3,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,90 xG 3,71
34% Possession 66%
8 Shots 19
2 Shots on target 9
0 Blocked shots 0
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
5 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kayserispor 11. · Galatasaray 4.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Trabzonspor 3 3 0 0 +3 +2.3 9
2 Goztep 3 2 1 0 +5 -0.6 7
3 Konyaspor 2 2 0 0 +6 +1.1 6
4 Galatasaray 2 2 0 0 +6 +4.9 6
5 Samsunspor 2 2 0 0 +2 +0.8 6
6 Antalyaspor 3 2 0 1 +1 -0.7 6
7 Fenerbahce 2 1 1 0 +2 +2.7 4
8 Besiktas 1 1 0 0 +1 +1.6 3
9 Gaziantep 3 1 0 2 -5 -1.5 3
10 Buyuksehyr 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.4 1
11 Kayserispor 1 0 1 0 +0 -0.4 1
12 Alanyaspor 1 0 1 0 +0 -0.9 1
13 Rizespor 2 0 1 1 -3 +1.6 1
14 Kasimpasa 2 0 0 2 -2 -2.0 0
15 Genclerbirligi 3 0 0 3 -3 -2.4 0
16 Eyüpspor 2 0 0 2 -4 -1.5 0
17 Kocaelispor 3 0 0 3 -4 -1.4 0
18 Karagumruk 2 0 0 2 -5 -3.9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kayserispor Galatasaray
36′
E. Elmali 0–1
Miguel Cardoso 🟨
45′
45′
🟨 Gabriel Sara
Half-time 0–2
46′
E. Elmali 0–2
L. Sane
I. Tuci 🔁
↦ A. Opoku
60′
Y. Ackah 🔁
↦ D. Tokoz
60′
A. Karimi 🔁
↦ L. Benes
69′
C. Mane 🔁
↦ R. Civelek
69′
72′
🔁 M. Icardi
↦ Gabriel Sara
72′
🔁 K. Ayhan
↦ I. Jakobs
Gökhan Sazdağı 🟨
76′
77′
🟨 Günay Güvenç
79′
🔁 M. Baltaci
↦ R. Sallai
79′
🔁 N. Zaniolo
↦ Y. Akgun
85′
🔁 B. Kutlu
↦ L. Torreira
86′
V. Osimhen 0–3
N. Zaniolo
90′
L. Sane 0–4
B. Kutlu
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

Kayserispor

4-1-4-1
25 B. Bayazit G
11 G. Sazdagi D
37 G. Jung D
4 S. Denswil D
23 L. Carole D
24 D. Tokoz M
28 R. Civelek M
10 J. Mendes M
8 L. Benes M
30 A. Opoku M
7 M. Cardoso F
Bench (10)
1 O. Piri
3 A. Burak
6 A. Karimi
77 N. Korkmaz
17 B. Kapacak
22 I. Tuci
20 C. Mane
26 B. A. Gezek
79 Y. Ackah
99 T. Sariarslan

Coach: Radomir Djalovic

Galatasaray

4-2-3-1
19 G. Guvenc G
7 R. Sallai D
6 D. Sanchez D
42 A. Bardakci D
4 I. Jakobs D
34 L. Torreira M
8 Gabriel Sara M
10 L. Sane M
11 Y. Akgun M
17 E. Elmali M
45 V. Osimhen F
Bench (10)
50 J. Yilmaz
3 M. Baltaci
9 M. Icardi
18 B. Kutlu
21 A. Kutucu
22 N. Zaniolo
23 K. Ayhan
24 E. Jelert
88 K. Karatas
91 A. Unyay

Coach: Okan Buruk

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
7,97
U
5,54
B ✓
1,29
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,39
U2,5
2,79
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Akarsu · 26 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.