Bundesliga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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M'gladbach
Hamburg
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bayern Munich
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +6 | +1.2 | 3 |
| 2 |
Ein Frankfurt
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | +2.2 | 3 |
| 3 |
Augsburg
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | -1.3 | 3 |
| 4 |
Wolfsburg
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | +1.7 | 3 |
| 5 |
Hoffenheim
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | -0.3 | 3 |
| 6 |
Union Berlin
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | -1.4 | 3 |
| 7 |
FC Koln
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | -0.2 | 3 |
| 8 |
St Pauli
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | -0.3 | 1 |
| 9 |
Dortmund
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | +0.3 | 1 |
| 10 |
Leverkusen
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | +0.3 | 0 |
| 11 |
Stuttgart
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | +1.4 | 0 |
| 12 |
Mainz
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | +0.2 | 0 |
| 13 |
Freiburg
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | +1.3 | 0 |
| 14 |
Heidenheim
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | -1.7 | 0 |
| 15 |
Werder Bremen
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | -2.2 | 0 |
| 16 |
RB Leipzig
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -6 | -1.2 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
M. Nicolas
G
J. Scally
D
N. Elvedi
D
F. C. Chiarodia
D
L. Ullrich
D
R. Reitz
M
P. Sander
M
F. Honorat
M
K. Stoger
M
R. Hack
M
H. Tabakovic
F
Coach: Eugen Polanski
D. Heuer Fernandes
G
W. Omari
D
D. Elfadli
D
J. Torunarigha
D
G. Gocholeishvili
M
N. Remberg
M
N. Capaldo
M
E. Sahiti
F
R. Konigsdorffer
F
Coach: Merlin Polzin
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Atlas Delmenhorst
M'gladbach
M'gladbach
Wolfsburg
Bayern Munich
M'gladbach
M'gladbach
Hoffenheim
Holstein Kiel
M'gladbach
Sascha Stegemann · 85 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.