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Bundesliga
Referee: Sascha Stegemann
M'gladbach
T U T T S
0–0
Full-time
Hamburg
T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

M'gladbach Hamburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
4,7
4,3
Scored
2,0
2,8
Conceded
2,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,10 xG 0,41
61% Possession 39%
17 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 6
1 Offside 4
10 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 1 1 0 0 +6 +1.2 3
2 Ein Frankfurt 1 1 0 0 +3 +2.2 3
3 Augsburg 1 1 0 0 +2 -1.3 3
4 Wolfsburg 1 1 0 0 +2 +1.7 3
5 Hoffenheim 1 1 0 0 +1 -0.3 3
6 Union Berlin 1 1 0 0 +1 -1.4 3
7 FC Koln 1 1 0 0 +1 -0.2 3
8 St Pauli 1 0 1 0 +0 -0.3 1
9 Dortmund 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.3 1
10 Leverkusen 1 0 0 1 -1 +0.3 0
11 Stuttgart 1 0 0 1 -1 +1.4 0
12 Mainz 1 0 0 1 -1 +0.2 0
13 Freiburg 1 0 0 1 -2 +1.3 0
14 Heidenheim 1 0 0 1 -2 -1.7 0
15 Werder Bremen 1 0 0 1 -3 -2.2 0
16 RB Leipzig 1 0 0 1 -6 -1.2 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

M'gladbach Hamburg
Rocco Reitz 🟨
34′
Half-time 0–0
59′
🟨 Nicolás Capaldo
F. Neuhaus 🔁
↦ K. Stoger
66′
66′
🔁 R. Philippe
↦ E. Sahiti
74′
🔁 J. Dompe
↦ A. Rossing-Lelesiit
74′
🔁 Y. Poulsen
↦ R. Konigsdorffer
L. Netz 🔁
↦ L. Ullrich
77′
K. Diks 🔁
↦ F. C. Chiarodia
77′
J. Castrop 🔁
↦ P. Sander
83′
S. Machino 🔁
↦ H. Tabakovic
83′
Joseph Scally 🟨
85′
86′
🔁 W. Mikelbrencis
↦ G. Gocholeishvili
86′
🔁 J. Meffert
↦ N. Capaldo
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

M'gladbach

4-2-3-1
33 M. Nicolas G
29 J. Scally D
30 N. Elvedi D
2 F. C. Chiarodia D
26 L. Ullrich D
27 R. Reitz M
16 P. Sander M
9 F. Honorat M
7 K. Stoger M
25 R. Hack M
15 H. Tabakovic F
Bench (9)
1 J. Omlin
20 L. Netz
5 M. Friedrich
4 K. Diks
22 O. Fraulo
17 J. Castrop
10 F. Neuhaus
28 G. Ranos
18 S. Machino

Coach: Eugen Polanski

Hamburg

3-4-3
1 D. Heuer Fernandes G
17 W. Omari D
8 D. Elfadli D
25 J. Torunarigha D
16 G. Gocholeishvili M
21 N. Remberg M
24 N. Capaldo M
28 M. Muheim M
29 E. Sahiti F
11 R. Konigsdorffer F
38 A. Rossing-Lelesiit F
Bench (9)
26 D. Peretz
2 W. Mikelbrencis
13 G. Ramos
22 A. Soumahoro
23 J. Meffert
7 J. Dompe
14 R. Philippe
15 Y. Poulsen
49 O. Stange

Coach: Merlin Polzin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,82
U ✓
3,92
B
3,78
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,50
U2,5 ✓
2,47
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Sascha Stegemann · 85 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.