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Superligaen

Referee: S Funder

Fredericia

T S T U S

1–0

Full-time

Randers FC

U S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fredericia Randers FC

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

4,2

2,8

Scored

1,8

1,2

Conceded

2,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 40%

40%

Points per game

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

60%

40%

Both score Ø 60%

60%

Average goals

4,0

2,6

Scored

2,0

1,2

Conceded

2,0

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,20 xG 1,36

43% Possession 57%

7 Shots 18

5 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 7

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 11

2 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 8

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fredericia 6. · Randers FC 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	6	4	1	1	+6	+4.4	13
2	Brondby	5	4	0	1	+5	+3.1	12
3	Midtjylland	5	2	3	0	+6	-0.1	9
4	Aarhus	5	2	2	1	+4	+0.4	8
5	Odense	6	2	2	2	-5	+2.4	8
6	Fredericia	5	2	1	2	+0	-1.4	7
7	Randers FC	5	2	1	2	-1	-2.6	7
8	Viborg	5	2	0	3	-1	-3.3	6
9	Silkeborg	5	2	0	3	-3	+3.4	6
10	Vejle	5	1	1	3	-1	-2.2	4
11	Sonderjyske	5	1	1	3	-5	-2.9	4
12	Nordsjaelland	5	1	0	4	-5	-1.3	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brondby	3	2	0	1	+2	+1.4	6
2	Odense	3	2	0	1	-1	+2.1	6
3	Midtjylland	3	1	2	0	+4	+1.2	5
4	Vejle	3	1	1	1	+2	-0.2	4
5	FC Copenhagen	3	1	1	1	+1	+1.9	4
6	Sonderjyske	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.6	4
7	Silkeborg	2	1	0	1	+0	+3.9	3
8	Viborg	3	1	0	2	-1	-2.4	3
9	Randers FC	2	1	0	1	-1	-1.2	3
10	Fredericia	3	1	0	2	-2	-0.7	3
11	Aarhus	2	0	1	1	-1	+2.3	1
12	Nordsjaelland	2	0	0	2	-3	+0.5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	3	3	0	0	+5	+2.5	9
2	Aarhus	3	2	1	0	+5	-1.8	7
3	Brondby	2	2	0	0	+3	+1.7	6
4	Fredericia	2	1	1	0	+2	-0.7	4
5	Midtjylland	2	1	1	0	+2	-1.3	4
6	Randers FC	3	1	1	1	+0	-1.3	4
7	Viborg	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.0	3
8	Nordsjaelland	3	1	0	2	-2	-1.9	3
9	Silkeborg	3	1	0	2	-3	-0.4	3
10	Odense	3	0	2	1	-4	+0.2	2
11	Vejle	2	0	0	2	-3	-1.9	0
12	Sonderjyske	3	0	0	3	-6	-2.4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.