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Ligue 1
Referee: J Brisard
Lorient
U S T S T
4–0
Full-time
Rennes
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lorient Rennes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,3
Scored
2,0
1,5
Conceded
0,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ligue 1 · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,0
1,0
Scored
0,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

3,04 xG 0,08
51% Possession 49%
22 Shots 5
7 Shots on target 1
6 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 2
4 Offside 2
18 Free kicks against 7
6 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 2
The table before the match Lorient 15. · Rennes 6.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Lyon 2 2 0 0 +4 +2.2 6
2 Paris SG 2 2 0 0 +2 +2.9 6
3 Marseille 2 1 0 1 +2 +2.0 3
4 Monaco 1 1 0 0 +2 +1.2 3
5 Nice 2 1 0 1 +1 +0.6 3
6 Rennes 1 1 0 0 +1 -0.2 3
7 Toulouse 1 1 0 0 +1 -0.2 3
8 Strasbourg 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.3 3
9 Angers 2 1 0 1 +0 -1.6 3
10 Auxerre 2 1 0 1 -1 -0.4 3
11 Brest 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.4 1
12 Lille 1 0 1 0 +0 -0.4 1
13 Nantes 1 0 0 1 -1 -1.3 0
14 Lens 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.0 0
15 Lorient 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.1 0
16 Le Havre 1 0 0 1 -2 -1.2 0
17 Paris FC 2 0 0 2 -4 -1.8 0
18 Metz 2 0 0 2 -4 -2.5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lorient Rennes
6′
🟥 Mahdi Camara
11′
🟥 Christopher Wooh
16′
🔁 M. Nagida
↦ M. Meite
Karim Dermane 🟨
35′
Formose Mendy 🟨
41′
Sambou Soumano 🟨
45′
1–0 S. Soumano
A. Avom
45′
Half-time 1–0
A. Faye 🔁
↦ F. Mendy
46′
2–0 A. Tosin
A. Kouassi
47′
M. Bamba 🔁
↦ S. Soumano
56′
P. Pagis 🔁
↦ D. Karim
56′
63′
🔁 D. Cisse
↦ F. Rieder
63′
🔁 I. Salah
↦ L. Blas
3–0 P. Pagis
M. Bamba
65′
T. Le Bris 🔁
↦ A. Tosin
66′
4–0 T. Le Bris
69′
Arsène Kouassi 🟨
71′
D. Yongwa 🔁
↦ A. Kouassi
73′
73′
🔁 A. Seidu
Panos Katseris 🟨
84′
Laurent Abergel 🟨
86′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Lorient

3-4-3
21 B. Kamara G
5 F. Mendy D
3 M. Talbi D
2 Igor Silva D
77 P. Katseris M
6 L. Abergel M
62 A. Avom M
43 A. Kouassi M
15 A. Tosin F
28 S. Soumano F
29 D. Karim F
Bench (9)
93 J. Mvuka Mugisha
9 M. Bamba
25 A. Faye
1 B. Leroy
17 J. Makengo
11 T. Le Bris
10 P. Pagis
44 D. Yongwa
97 S. Siba

Coach: Olivier Pantaloni

Rennes

3-5-2
30 B. Samba G
4 C. Wooh D
97 J. Jacquet D
24 A. Rouault D
45 M. Camara M
32 F. Rieder M
21 V. Rongier M
8 S. Fofana M
26 Q. Merlin M
10 L. Blas F
39 M. Meite F
Bench (9)
16 D. Alemdar
50 M. Silistrie
15 M. Faye
36 A. Seidu
18 M. Nagida
6 D. Cisse
65 N. Mukiele
34 I. Salah
99 B. Yildirim

Coach: Franck Haise

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,71
U
3,29
B
2,54
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,94
U2,5
1,81
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Brisard · 168 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.