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Serie B

Referee: M Perri

Carrarese

S U U S T

2–1

Full-time

Modena

S S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Carrarese Modena

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

2,3

3,5

Scored

1,2

1,7

Conceded

1,2

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,2

This season — Serie B · 35/35 matches

Win Ø 29%

29%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

43%

49%

Both score Ø 53%

43%

63%

Average goals

2,3

2,6

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

36% Possession 64%

7 Shots 17

3 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

0 Corners 6

0 Offside 1

20 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 1

The table before the match Carrarese 12. · Modena 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	35	25	6	4	+43	81
2	Pisa	35	21	7	7	+25	70
3	Spezia	35	16	15	4	+26	63
4	Cremonese	35	15	12	8	+18	57
5	Juve Stabia	35	14	11	10	+2	53
6	Palermo	35	13	9	13	+8	48
7	Catanzaro	35	10	18	7	+4	48
8	Bari	35	9	17	9	+2	44
9	Modena	35	10	14	11	+0	44
10	Cesena	35	11	11	13	-4	44
11	Sudtirol	35	11	8	16	-8	41
12	Carrarese	35	10	11	14	-10	41
13	Mantova	35	9	13	13	-8	40
14	Frosinone	35	8	15	12	-12	39
15	Brescia	35	8	14	13	-7	38
16	Reggiana	35	9	11	15	-11	38
17	Sampdoria	35	7	15	13	-12	36
18	Salernitana	35	9	9	17	-13	36
19	Cittadella	35	9	9	17	-23	36
20	Cosenza	35	7	13	15	-20	34

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	17	14	2	1	+29	44
2	Pisa	17	12	3	2	+18	39
3	Spezia	17	11	4	2	+18	37
4	Juve Stabia	17	10	3	4	+8	33
5	Carrarese	18	9	5	4	+5	32
6	Catanzaro	18	7	8	3	+10	29
7	Cremonese	18	7	7	4	+7	28
8	Cesena	18	7	7	4	+5	28
9	Salernitana	18	8	4	6	+3	28
10	Bari	18	6	9	3	+4	27
11	Mantova	17	7	6	4	+4	27
12	Palermo	17	7	4	6	+5	25
13	Modena	17	6	7	4	+4	25
14	Sampdoria	18	5	7	6	-3	22
15	Cosenza	18	5	7	6	-6	22
16	Sudtirol	17	5	6	6	-3	21
17	Reggiana	18	5	6	7	-3	21
18	Frosinone	18	4	9	5	-6	21
19	Brescia	17	3	8	6	-2	17
20	Cittadella	17	2	7	8	-11	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	18	11	4	3	+14	37
2	Pisa	18	9	4	5	+7	31
3	Cremonese	17	8	5	4	+11	29
4	Spezia	18	5	11	2	+8	26
5	Palermo	18	6	5	7	+3	23
6	Cittadella	18	7	2	9	-12	23
7	Brescia	18	5	6	7	-5	21
8	Sudtirol	18	6	2	10	-5	20
9	Juve Stabia	18	4	8	6	-6	20
10	Modena	18	4	7	7	-4	19
11	Catanzaro	17	3	10	4	-6	19
12	Frosinone	17	4	6	7	-6	18
13	Bari	17	3	8	6	-2	17
14	Reggiana	17	4	5	8	-8	17
15	Cesena	17	4	4	9	-9	16
16	Sampdoria	17	2	8	7	-9	14
17	Mantova	18	2	7	9	-12	13
18	Cosenza	17	2	6	9	-14	12
19	Carrarese	17	1	6	10	-15	9
20	Salernitana	17	1	5	11	-16	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.