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Serie B

Referee: S Sozza

Carrarese

U S U S T

0–4

Full-time

Spezia

U S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Carrarese Spezia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

17%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

1,5

2,0

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

0,5

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,7

This season — Serie B · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 41%

33%

48%

Points per game

1,3

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 31%

29%

33%

Both score Ø 36%

33%

38%

Average goals

2,0

2,1

Scored

0,9

1,4

Conceded

1,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

56% Possession 44%

16 Shots 20

3 Shots on target 8

8 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 3

2 Offside 0

20 Free kicks against 16

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Carrarese 11. · Spezia 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	22	16	4	2	+27	52
2	Pisa	22	13	6	3	+16	45
3	Spezia	21	10	9	2	+16	39
4	Cremonese	22	10	6	6	+10	36
5	Palermo	22	8	6	8	+4	30
6	Juve Stabia	22	7	9	6	-2	30
7	Catanzaro	22	5	14	3	+4	29
8	Bari	22	6	11	5	+4	29
9	Cesena	22	8	5	9	+0	29
10	Mantova	22	6	9	7	-3	27
11	Carrarese	21	7	6	8	-3	27
12	Modena	22	5	11	6	-1	26
13	Brescia	22	5	10	7	-3	25
14	Reggiana	22	6	7	9	-3	25
15	Cittadella	22	6	7	9	-13	25
16	Cosenza	22	4	10	8	-6	22
17	Sampdoria	22	4	9	9	-8	21
18	Salernitana	22	5	6	11	-10	21
19	Frosinone	22	4	9	9	-13	21
20	Sudtirol	22	5	4	13	-16	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	11	9	1	1	+18	28
2	Pisa	11	8	3	0	+14	27
3	Spezia	10	7	3	0	+14	24
4	Carrarese	10	6	3	1	+8	21
5	Cesena	11	6	3	2	+6	21
6	Catanzaro	12	4	6	2	+5	18
7	Palermo	11	5	3	3	+5	18
8	Bari	12	4	6	2	+3	18
9	Mantova	10	5	3	2	+3	18
10	Modena	11	4	5	2	+4	17
11	Cremonese	11	4	4	3	+0	16
12	Salernitana	12	4	3	5	-1	15
13	Juve Stabia	10	4	3	3	-1	15
14	Brescia	11	3	5	3	+1	14
15	Reggiana	11	3	4	4	-1	13
16	Cittadella	11	2	6	3	-1	12
17	Cosenza	11	2	6	3	-2	12
18	Frosinone	11	2	5	4	-5	11
19	Sampdoria	11	2	4	5	-3	10
20	Sudtirol	11	2	3	6	-8	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	11	7	3	1	+9	24
2	Cremonese	11	6	2	3	+10	20
3	Pisa	11	5	3	3	+2	18
4	Spezia	11	3	6	2	+2	15
5	Juve Stabia	12	3	6	3	-1	15
6	Cittadella	11	4	1	6	-12	13
7	Palermo	11	3	3	5	-1	12
8	Reggiana	11	3	3	5	-2	12
9	Bari	10	2	5	3	+1	11
10	Catanzaro	10	1	8	1	-1	11
11	Brescia	11	2	5	4	-4	11
12	Sampdoria	11	2	5	4	-5	11
13	Cosenza	11	2	4	5	-4	10
14	Sudtirol	11	3	1	7	-8	10
15	Frosinone	11	2	4	5	-8	10
16	Modena	11	1	6	4	-5	9
17	Mantova	12	1	6	5	-6	9
18	Cesena	11	2	2	7	-6	8
19	Salernitana	10	1	3	6	-9	6
20	Carrarese	11	1	3	7	-11	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.