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Serie B

Referee: D Di Marco

Mantova

T S S U T

3–0

Full-time

Cesena

U T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mantova Cesena

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,5

1,8

Scored

1,7

0,7

Conceded

1,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,5

This season — Serie B · 34/34 matches

Win Ø 28%

24%

32%

Points per game

1,1

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

53%

38%

Both score Ø 61%

62%

59%

Average goals

2,8

2,5

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,6

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

64% Possession 36%

21 Shots 10

8 Shots on target 5

6 Blocked shots 2

5 Goalkeeper saves 5

4 Corners 5

2 Offside 3

12 Free kicks against 19

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Mantova 14. · Cesena 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	34	24	6	4	+41	78
2	Pisa	34	20	7	7	+24	67
3	Spezia	34	15	15	4	+24	60
4	Cremonese	34	15	11	8	+18	56
5	Juve Stabia	35	14	11	10	+2	53
6	Palermo	34	13	9	12	+9	48
7	Catanzaro	35	10	18	7	+4	48
8	Bari	34	9	17	8	+3	44
9	Modena	34	10	14	10	+1	44
10	Cesena	34	11	11	12	-1	44
11	Carrarese	34	10	11	13	-8	41
12	Frosinone	34	8	15	11	-11	39
13	Sudtirol	34	10	8	16	-9	38
14	Mantova	34	8	13	13	-11	37
15	Salernitana	34	9	9	16	-11	36
16	Cittadella	34	9	9	16	-22	36
17	Brescia	34	7	14	13	-8	35
18	Sampdoria	34	7	14	13	-12	35
19	Reggiana	34	8	11	15	-12	35
20	Cosenza	34	6	13	15	-21	31

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	16	13	2	1	+27	41
2	Pisa	16	11	3	2	+17	36
3	Spezia	16	10	4	2	+16	34
4	Juve Stabia	17	10	3	4	+8	33
5	Carrarese	18	9	5	4	+5	32
6	Catanzaro	18	7	8	3	+10	29
7	Cremonese	18	7	7	4	+7	28
8	Cesena	18	7	7	4	+5	28
9	Salernitana	18	8	4	6	+3	28
10	Bari	18	6	9	3	+4	27
11	Palermo	16	7	4	5	+6	25
12	Modena	16	6	7	3	+5	25
13	Mantova	16	6	6	4	+1	24
14	Sudtirol	17	5	6	6	-3	21
15	Reggiana	18	5	6	7	-3	21
16	Sampdoria	17	5	6	6	-3	21
17	Frosinone	18	4	9	5	-6	21
18	Cosenza	17	4	7	6	-7	19
19	Brescia	17	3	8	6	-2	17
20	Cittadella	16	2	7	7	-10	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	18	11	4	3	+14	37
2	Pisa	18	9	4	5	+7	31
3	Cremonese	16	8	4	4	+11	28
4	Spezia	18	5	11	2	+8	26
5	Palermo	18	6	5	7	+3	23
6	Cittadella	18	7	2	9	-12	23
7	Juve Stabia	18	4	8	6	-6	20
8	Modena	18	4	7	7	-4	19
9	Catanzaro	17	3	10	4	-6	19
10	Frosinone	16	4	6	6	-5	18
11	Brescia	17	4	6	7	-6	18
12	Bari	16	3	8	5	-1	17
13	Sudtirol	17	5	2	10	-6	17
14	Cesena	16	4	4	8	-6	16
15	Sampdoria	17	2	8	7	-9	14
16	Reggiana	16	3	5	8	-9	14
17	Mantova	18	2	7	9	-12	13
18	Cosenza	17	2	6	9	-14	12
19	Carrarese	16	1	6	9	-13	9
20	Salernitana	16	1	5	10	-14	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.