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Coppa Italia
Referee: C G Allegretta
Venezia
T U S T T
4–0
Full-time
Mantova
T S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Venezia Mantova
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

53% Possession 47%
28 Shots 9
11 Shots on target 2
7 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
10 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Virtus Entella 1 1 0 0 +4 3
2 Genoa 1 1 0 0 +3 3
3 Lecce 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 Sassuolo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Pescara 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Audace Cerignola 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Vicenza 2 1 0 1 -1 3
8 Empoli 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Reggiana 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Catanzaro 1 0 0 1 -1 0
11 Rimini 1 0 0 1 -1 0
12 Avellino 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Juve Stabia 1 0 0 1 -2 0
14 Padova 1 0 0 1 -2 0
15 Ternana 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Venezia Mantova
9′
🟨 Cristiano Bani
1–0 I. Doumbia
R. Haps
15′
19′
🟨 Žan Majer
Joel Schingtienne 🟨
22′
34′
🟨 Nicolò Radaelli
2–0 I. Doumbia
J. Yeboah
45′
Half-time 3–0
3–0 J. Yeboah
57′
58′
🔁 L. Mancuso
↦ C. Falletti
59′
🔁 F. Artioli
↦ Z. Majer
59′
🔁 D. Bragantini
↦ F. Galuppini
63′
🟨 Simone Trimboli
M. Venturi 🔁
↦ J. Schingtienne
66′
R. Sagrado 🔁
↦ R. Haps
66′
K. Perez 🔁
↦ I. Doumbia
66′
70′
🔁 A. Fiori
↦ D. Mensah
D. Fila 🔁
↦ A. Adorante
76′
79′
🔁 T. Maggioni
↦ N. Radaelli
N. Lella 🔁
↦ G. Busio
81′
4–0 J. Yeboah
D. Fila
89′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Venezia

3-5-2
22 A. Plizzari G
3 J. Schingtienne D
2 S. Korac D
4 B. Franjic D
19 B. Bjarkason M
6 G. Busio M
32 A. Duncan M
8 I. Doumbia M
5 R. Haps M
10 J. Yeboah F
9 A. Adorante F
Bench (12)
1 F. Stankovic
23 M. Grandi
7 D. Fila
16 M. Venturi
18 A. Hainaut
20 R. Sagrado
21 M. Compagnon
24 N. Lella
71 K. Perez
80 A. Casas
93 F. Tavernaro
90 A. Pietrelli

Coach: Giovanni Stroppa

Mantova

4-2-3-1
1 M. Festa G
17 N. Radaelli D
3 V. Mantovani D
29 S. Cella D
6 C. Bani D
37 Z. Majer M
21 S. Trimboli M
14 F. Galuppini M
18 C. Falletti M
19 F. Ruocco M
7 D. Mensah F
Bench (15)
22 L. Andrenacci
16 F. Botti
27 A. Castellini
96 T. Maggioni
4 S. Mullen
53 T. Pittino
8 F. Artioli
20 G. Fedel
36 F. Paoletti
10 D. Wieser
30 D. Bragantini
28 M. Caprini
11 A. Fiori
9 L. Mancuso
23 T. Marras

Coach: Francesco Modesto

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

C G Allegretta · 10 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
27,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.