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Championship

Referee: R Madley

Middlesbrough

T T U U T

2–1

Full-time

Swansea

T U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Middlesbrough Swansea

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,7

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,7

This season — Championship · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 10%

20%

Points per game

0,6

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

60%

40%

Both score Ø 60%

80%

40%

Average goals

3,2

2,4

Scored

1,4

0,8

Conceded

1,8

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

39% Possession 61%

7 Shots 9

3 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

8 Corners 4

3 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 14

5 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Middlesbrough 23. · Swansea 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sheffield United	6	3	2	1	+5	11
2	Norwich	6	3	1	2	+2	10
3	Watford	5	2	3	0	+2	9
4	Reading	5	3	0	2	+0	9
5	Blackburn	5	3	0	2	-1	9
6	Sunderland	6	2	2	2	+0	8
7	Hull	5	2	2	1	-1	8
8	Bristol City	5	2	1	2	+2	7
9	Preston	5	1	4	0	+1	7
10	Millwall	5	2	1	2	-1	7
11	Blackpool	5	2	1	2	-1	7
12	Cardiff	5	2	1	2	-1	7
13	Rotherham	4	1	3	0	+4	6
14	West Brom	5	1	3	1	+2	6
15	Wigan	4	1	3	0	+1	6
16	Burnley	5	1	3	1	+0	6
17	Luton	6	1	3	2	-1	6
18	QPR	5	1	2	2	-1	5
19	Birmingham	5	1	2	2	-1	5
20	Swansea	5	1	2	2	-4	5
21	Stoke	5	1	1	3	-3	4
22	Huddersfield	4	1	0	3	-1	3
23	Middlesbrough	5	0	3	2	-2	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sheffield United	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Reading	3	3	0	0	+5	9
3	Norwich	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Bristol City	3	2	0	1	+3	6
5	Millwall	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Hull	2	2	0	0	+2	6
7	Blackburn	2	2	0	0	+2	6
8	Watford	2	2	0	0	+2	6
9	Cardiff	2	2	0	0	+2	6
10	West Brom	3	1	2	0	+3	5
11	Rotherham	2	1	1	0	+4	4
12	Stoke	3	1	1	1	+1	4
13	QPR	3	1	1	1	+0	4
14	Birmingham	3	1	1	1	+0	4
15	Huddersfield	2	1	0	1	+1	3
16	Burnley	3	0	3	0	+0	3
17	Blackpool	2	1	0	1	+0	3
18	Preston	3	0	3	0	+0	3
19	Middlesbrough	2	0	2	0	+0	2
20	Wigan	2	0	2	0	+0	2
21	Sunderland	3	0	2	1	-1	2
22	Luton	3	0	2	1	-1	2
23	Swansea	3	0	1	2	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sunderland	3	2	0	1	+1	6
2	Wigan	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Swansea	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Preston	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Luton	3	1	1	1	+0	4
6	Blackpool	3	1	1	1	-1	4
7	Watford	3	0	3	0	+0	3
8	Burnley	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Norwich	3	1	0	2	-1	3
10	Blackburn	3	1	0	2	-3	3
11	Rotherham	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Sheffield United	3	0	2	1	-1	2
13	Hull	3	0	2	1	-3	2
14	QPR	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Bristol City	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	West Brom	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Birmingham	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Middlesbrough	3	0	1	2	-2	1
19	Cardiff	3	0	1	2	-3	1
20	Millwall	3	0	1	2	-4	1
21	Huddersfield	2	0	0	2	-2	0
22	Stoke	2	0	0	2	-4	0
23	Reading	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.