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Serie A

Referee: D Chiffi

Cagliari

S S S U U

2–0

Full-time

Spal

S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cagliari Spal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

2,7

2,3

Scored

1,7

0,7

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-1,0

This season — Serie A · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 36%

43%

29%

Points per game

1,6

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

43%

57%

Both score Ø 57%

71%

43%

Average goals

2,4

2,7

Scored

1,4

0,9

Conceded

1,0

1,9

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

42% Possession 58%

13 Shots 8

7 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 3

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 6

0 Offside 2

16 Free kicks against 15

4 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Cagliari 7. · Spal 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	8	7	1	0	+8	22
2	Inter	8	7	0	1	+11	21
3	Atalanta	8	5	2	1	+8	17
4	Napoli	8	5	1	2	+7	16
5	Lazio	8	3	3	2	+7	12
6	Roma	7	3	3	1	+2	12
7	Cagliari	7	3	2	2	+3	11
8	Fiorentina	7	3	2	2	+2	11
9	Torino	7	3	1	3	+0	10
10	Bologna	8	2	3	3	-1	9
11	Verona	8	2	3	3	-1	9
12	Parma	7	3	0	4	-2	9
13	Milan	7	3	0	4	-3	9
14	Udinese	7	2	1	4	-3	7
15	Sassuolo	7	2	0	5	-2	6
16	Brescia	6	2	0	4	-2	6
17	Spal	7	2	0	5	-7	6
18	Lecce	7	2	0	5	-8	6
19	Genoa	7	1	2	4	-7	5
20	Sampdoria	7	1	0	6	-12	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	4	4	0	0	+5	12
2	Inter	4	3	0	1	+5	9
3	Napoli	4	3	0	1	+4	9
4	Lazio	4	2	2	0	+6	8
5	Fiorentina	4	2	1	1	+1	7
6	Torino	4	2	1	1	+1	7
7	Sassuolo	4	2	0	2	+2	6
8	Spal	4	2	0	2	-1	6
9	Parma	4	2	0	2	-1	6
10	Udinese	4	2	0	2	-1	6
11	Verona	4	1	2	1	+1	5
12	Roma	4	1	2	1	+0	5
13	Atalanta	3	1	1	1	+1	4
14	Cagliari	4	1	1	2	+0	4
15	Bologna	3	1	1	1	+0	4
16	Genoa	4	1	1	2	-1	4
17	Milan	3	1	0	2	-3	3
18	Sampdoria	3	1	0	2	-4	3
19	Brescia	2	0	0	2	-2	0
20	Lecce	3	0	0	3	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Atalanta	5	4	1	0	+7	13
2	Inter	4	4	0	0	+6	12
3	Juventus	4	3	1	0	+3	10
4	Napoli	4	2	1	1	+3	7
5	Cagliari	3	2	1	0	+3	7
6	Roma	3	2	1	0	+2	7
7	Milan	4	2	0	2	+0	6
8	Brescia	4	2	0	2	+0	6
9	Lecce	4	2	0	2	-3	6
10	Bologna	5	1	2	2	-1	5
11	Fiorentina	3	1	1	1	+1	4
12	Lazio	4	1	1	2	+1	4
13	Verona	4	1	1	2	-2	4
14	Torino	3	1	0	2	-1	3
15	Parma	3	1	0	2	-1	3
16	Udinese	3	0	1	2	-2	1
17	Genoa	3	0	1	2	-6	1
18	Sassuolo	3	0	0	3	-4	0
19	Spal	3	0	0	3	-6	0
20	Sampdoria	4	0	0	4	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.