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Ligue 2
Referee: Remi Landry
Montpellier
U S S T U
1–1
Full-time
Dijon
S T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Montpellier Dijon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,3
3,5
Scored
1,3
2,3
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%
27 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 4
12 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 0
0 Offside 1
20 Free kicks against 17
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Montpellier Dijon
Nordan Mukiele 🟨
27′
43′
🟨 Brandon Ndezi
Half-time 0–0
Daylam Meddah 🟨
63′
Y. Issoufou 🔁
↦ N. Mukiele
64′
G. Ayem 🔁
↦ N. El Hannach
64′
Théo Chennahi 🟨
65′
66′
🔁 A. Lembezat
↦ P. Bellon
66′
🔁 T. Dong
↦ Y. Barka
72′
🔁 S. Chouchane
↦ B. Ndezi
73′
🔁 Y. Aka
↦ M. Barreto
76′
🟨 Adel Lembezat
H. Abderrebi 🔁
↦ D. Meddah
80′
82′
🔁 J. Tavares
↦ A. Ntamack
L. Megnan-Pave 🔁
↦ M. Camara
85′
89′
🟨 Lenny Lacroix
1–0 L. Megnan-Pave
90′
90′
A. Lembezat 1–1
Full-time 1–1

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,91
U ✓
3,29
B
3,78
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,08
U2,5 ✓
1,67
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.