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Ligue 2
Referee: A Valnet
Guingamp
S T S T S
1–1
Full-time
Metz
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guingamp Metz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,7
2,0
Conceded
1,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,3
This season — Ligue 2 · 35/35 matches
Win Ø 44%
37%
51%
Points per game
1,4
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
49%
37%
Both score Ø 50%
57%
43%
Average goals
2,6
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,6
Conceded
1,3
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

49% Possession 51%
16 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 14
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Guingamp 10. · Metz 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Le Havre 35 19 14 2 +28 71
2 Bordeaux 36 20 9 7 +25 69
3 Metz 35 18 11 6 +26 65
4 Bastia 35 16 8 11 +4 56
5 Caen 35 15 10 10 +8 55
6 Sochaux 35 15 7 13 +17 52
7 Grenoble 36 14 9 13 +0 51
8 St Etienne 35 13 10 12 +2 49
9 Quevilly Rouen 35 12 13 10 +2 49
10 Guingamp 35 13 9 13 +1 48
11 Paris FC 35 13 9 13 +0 48
12 Amiens 35 12 8 15 -11 44
13 Rodez 36 10 13 13 -5 43
14 Pau FC 35 10 11 14 -10 41
15 Annecy 35 10 11 14 -12 41
16 Laval 36 12 4 20 -15 40
17 Valenciennes 35 8 15 12 -8 39
18 Dijon 35 9 11 15 -5 38
19 Nimes 35 9 6 20 -17 33
20 Niort 35 7 6 22 -30 27

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Guingamp Metz
21′
G. Mikautadze 0–1
M. Udol
41′
🟨 Joseph N'Duquidi
Half-time 0–1
H. Picard 🔁
↦ A. El Ouazzani
53′
1–1 G. Courtet
T. Muyumba
60′
69′
🔁 A. Atta
↦ J. NDuquidi
70′
🔁 H. Maïga
↦ Y. Maziz
81′
🔁 P. Diallo
↦ C. Sabaly
J. Siwe 🔁
↦ B. Guillaume
82′
T. Luvambo 🔁
↦ J. Livolant
82′
87′
🔁 L. Joseph
↦ A. Jallow
94′
🟨 Koffi Kouao
Full-time 1–1

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,47
U ✓
3,57
B
1,78
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,94
U2,5 ✓
1,83
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Valnet · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.